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Recent content by Brad Sallows

  1. Brad Sallows

    Canada to Spend $5.0Bil on AEW Aircraft

    If things are going well for us, then the most important uses of the CAF are going to be abroad. Sending people abroad is more cost-effective if they go for long stretches of time. People who want to work in the CAF ought to properly understand this before signing on.
  2. Brad Sallows

    A Deeply Fractured US

    Here. Uttered during a podcast with Marc Elias. Try a quick search before playing green-box-yellow-box-red-box.
  3. Brad Sallows

    Hamas invaded Israel 2023

    The opinion of 10,000 people is also of no value if it is not wholly obtained by only objective reasoning.
  4. Brad Sallows

    A Deeply Fractured US

    If the result is close, sure. I'm really interested to see what happens if he wins a close result. We'd see what happens when principle and expediency collide among the "defenders of democracy".
  5. Brad Sallows

    CDS General Eyre announces retirement

    Exactly so. There is only one CDS, and a vacancy arises approximately once every three years. There are too many possible special characteristics to be acknowledged for any reasonable hope of awarding a useful number of "first this CDS, first that CDS" participation trophies. If the situation...
  6. Brad Sallows

    A Deeply Fractured US

    Except literally Hillary Clinton.
  7. Brad Sallows

    A Deeply Fractured US

    It's correct that projections rely on past results; it's incorrect that past results were the reason for hesitancy. The impact of voting rule changes - mostly in consequence of pandemic mitigation - was so great that no-one could reasonably trust that the predictive models were still valid...
  8. Brad Sallows

    A Deeply Fractured US

    RCP Averages. Trump has been leading in the (relatively meaningless) popular vote averages for weeks, although the amount dropped a while back and looks like it's within margin-of-error. More importantly, he has been consistently leading in 5 - usually 6 - of the 7 battlegrounds, and was even...
  9. Brad Sallows

    A Deeply Fractured US

    Sure. The Democrats have the "Squad". Any guesses what happens if they are the balance of power in a narrowly-divided House with a Democratic speaker?
  10. Brad Sallows

    A Deeply Fractured US

    What does that mean? The presidency, which polls suggest Trump will win unless he is convicted of something? The Senate, for which Republicans have an easy map this year? The House, which polls suggest is too close too call right now? Two of the three? All of them? The two parties are...
  11. Brad Sallows

    Canada to Spend $5.0Bil on AEW Aircraft

    $5B worth of two-seater biplanes with a pair of binoculars for each in the passenger seat?
  12. Brad Sallows

    Trudeau Popularity - or not. Nanos research

    There doesn't have to be a conspiracy. Plenty of "elites" behave like they favour super-national government.
  13. Brad Sallows

    CDS General Eyre announces retirement

    But it's nice flat land. Surely the winds blow the snow elsewhere?
  14. Brad Sallows

    CDS General Eyre announces retirement

    At some point "REMF" assignments with options to WFH should be seen as a balancing mechanism for time spent living austerely outdoors or bucking swells.
  15. Brad Sallows

    Canada to Spend $5.0Bil on AEW Aircraft

    What's the flight time from Edmonton to Whitehorse? Two and a half hours?
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