A Deeply Fractured US
- Thread starter BeyondTheNow
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And neither is Trump.
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I really, for the life of me, can't believe the DNC will go to battle with the biden/harris ticket. Not unless they want to lose intentionality, leaving a number of poison pills in place. A Trump win will likely be met with riots, terrorist attacks, etc.
One possibility I'm entertaining and rolling around in my head is a bait and switch.
They've got Biden going all out as the candidate, luring the Republicans into a false sense in of security. No other candidate can get started or party permission to run. Keeps the field clear going into the primary. I can't shake the feeling that at the primary, biden will back out because of health or whatever, which also takes harris out of play. Who can step in with no real baggage and a bunch of super pacs behind them? Michelle Obama can. She stands up to run at the last minute, with Biden bringing his supporters over to her. Her running mate (not harris) will be prepositioned to jump on stage with her. The party will be completely behind this pairing and vote unanimously for them. This might accomplish a couple of things. If he hasn't planned for it (and I'm sure he has) it'll throw Trump off his game temporarily while he switches gears. It gives Michelle about 5 months from the primary to canvass and persuade voters that a fourth Obama term is a good thing. Will she bring back disaffected voters? Some likely, but I don't think enough will switch back. They are not just tired of biden, they are tired of democrat policies. She'll have a tough row to hoe.
Just random thoughts, without a whole lot of delving into the minutiae.
One possibility I'm entertaining and rolling around in my head is a bait and switch.
They've got Biden going all out as the candidate, luring the Republicans into a false sense in of security. No other candidate can get started or party permission to run. Keeps the field clear going into the primary. I can't shake the feeling that at the primary, biden will back out because of health or whatever, which also takes harris out of play. Who can step in with no real baggage and a bunch of super pacs behind them? Michelle Obama can. She stands up to run at the last minute, with Biden bringing his supporters over to her. Her running mate (not harris) will be prepositioned to jump on stage with her. The party will be completely behind this pairing and vote unanimously for them. This might accomplish a couple of things. If he hasn't planned for it (and I'm sure he has) it'll throw Trump off his game temporarily while he switches gears. It gives Michelle about 5 months from the primary to canvass and persuade voters that a fourth Obama term is a good thing. Will she bring back disaffected voters? Some likely, but I don't think enough will switch back. They are not just tired of biden, they are tired of democrat policies. She'll have a tough row to hoe.
Just random thoughts, without a whole lot of delving into the minutiae.
Oldgateboatdriver
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You got it cold, mate. Though I must have been fast asleep or something cause I completely missed the whole Obama third term.
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Border negotiations. Speaker Johnson has already said the senate plan is dead on arrival. It'll be up to Schumer whether to negotiate a plan or not. Chances are he'll just grandstand, blame Republicans for being intransigent and try bully everyone like he always does. Senate and house republicans have said that they require a minimum of 72 hours to peruse the bill before voting. Something Schumer is usually against doing. As Pelosi famously said, 'if you want to know what's in the bill, you'll have to vote for it to see it'. Many Republican Senators are against this and McConnell's insistence to follow schumer's lead.
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You're in it. This presidential term. Biden is a puppet like trudeau. You can't seriously believe biden is actually in charge of the White House and policy making, do you?
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You can't seriously believe that those videos of Biden stammering are indicative of how he communicates all the time, do you?
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No. I post those because they're funny and topical.
Things like the thorozine shuffle, he does, do.
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they have like a 50% chance of dying in office not counting confounding issues. Being alive is I guess the bare minimum requirement but doesnt say much about their fitness for office
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Maybe a bit better than that.
Hard to predict. Haven't had a prez die in office ( of natural causes ) in 80 years.
And he was on his fourth term. So far, these guys only have one under their belts.
01/07/24
Dr Olshansky stated on January 7, in an article in The Hill, a Washington-based newspaper: “Today his [Biden’s] chances of surviving through a second term in office are close to 75 per cent (about 10 per cent better survival than for an average man his age). Similar, although slightly less favourable survival prospects are present for Trump.”
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"Similar, although slightly less favourable survival prospects are present for Trump.”
Only if assassination is on the table. Trump is healthier, physically and mentally, than Biden.
Only if assassination is on the table. Trump is healthier, physically and mentally, than Biden.
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I didnt read the articles you posted before due to paywall but its not in agreement with the sources I did read. Living isnt much of a standard. They could fall into a stroke induced coma on inauguration day and still be alive for the term or they could be like Reagan.
Theres only been two presidents that started their presidency at 70, 3 if I give you Reagan
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Right. That was the doctor's opinion. Not mine.
I believe he was referring to cardiac arrest. Not brain death, or sanity.
Which sources are those?
Jarnhamar
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He's probably worse behind closed doors to be honest.
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Why am I not surprised that you would find someone's childhood speech impediment funny?
You probably howled at the Chretien attack ad too.
Quirky
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He probably is barely able to function behind closed doors and gets woken up for public viewings. Nevermind his platform or polices, having Biden as the leader of the United States is a complete embarrassment. He looks like a zombie half the of time. Just let the old man retire and live out his remaining few years in peace.
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I just googled from your link, nothing technical. But at its base, you can start from the life expectancy and work backwards or forwards 1 or 2 SD from that
Brad Sallows
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It's age.Why am I not surprised that you would find someone's childhood speech impediment funny?
You probably howled at the Chretien attack ad too.
Here is younger Biden. Perfectly capable of reading and extemporizing.
