foresterab
Full Member
- Reaction score
- 301
- Points
- 760
While an interesting report I question some of the assumptions in the report such as:
1) expenditures are based upon spending up to a maximum of 145% of revenue in a year
2) no provision for economic tax expansion. Alberta has no sales tax currently and low overall tax rates (hence high default rating score) but how much can Quebec expand taxes?
3) Does not speak to expenditures as a percentage of federal equalization?
4) Has a large weighting for number of seniors in 30 years -> increased health care costs. But does not speak to working population available to pay taxes.
5) assumption of no change in productivity of working population
Best parts were the parts about future bond yields and discount differences between provinces based upon credit scores...that 0.5-0.75% difference has huge impacts on how areas will climb out of debt. Also the acknowledgement of debt held by investments done by the provinces (page 11) showing an additional 18.9% liability not talked about in the provincial debt reports.
Worth a read but not enough here to formulate economic policy on.
1) expenditures are based upon spending up to a maximum of 145% of revenue in a year
2) no provision for economic tax expansion. Alberta has no sales tax currently and low overall tax rates (hence high default rating score) but how much can Quebec expand taxes?
3) Does not speak to expenditures as a percentage of federal equalization?
4) Has a large weighting for number of seniors in 30 years -> increased health care costs. But does not speak to working population available to pay taxes.
5) assumption of no change in productivity of working population
Best parts were the parts about future bond yields and discount differences between provinces based upon credit scores...that 0.5-0.75% difference has huge impacts on how areas will climb out of debt. Also the acknowledgement of debt held by investments done by the provinces (page 11) showing an additional 18.9% liability not talked about in the provincial debt reports.
Worth a read but not enough here to formulate economic policy on.