CDN Aviator said:But after Bush is gone, who will Canadians blame for everything ?
My thoughts exactly only maybe you should substitute 'liberals' for 'Canadians'.
KJK
CDN Aviator said:But after Bush is gone, who will Canadians blame for everything ?
CDN Aviator said:But after Bush is gone, who will Canadians blame for eveything ?
Thucydides said:Quite an assumption there. How should the Government or the Opposition be prepared to respond to a McCain Administration then?
stegner said:Gee what a marvelous idea we decide who is our government on the basis of who the Americans elect. NOT.
Losers in Quebec
LYSIANE GAGNON
May 5, 2008
The next federal election - whenever there is one, and it won't be soon - might very well open the exit door for Bloc Québécois Leader Gilles Duceppe. His party is losing ground. The sovereigntist option is in such decline that even the province's Parti Québécois hardly talks about it. Mr. Duceppe hinted recently that he was thinking about retirement, and there is a handsome pension awaiting him when he resigns from the Parliament he didn't recognize as his own.
Last week's survey by the Quebec polling firm CROP says it all. For the first time since its birth in 1993, the Bloc's support has dropped below 30 per cent. It is now at 28 per cent - a long way from the 42 per cent of the vote it garnered in the 2006 election. In the homogeneously francophone suburbs around Montreal, the Conservative Party and the Bloc are neck and neck, and in the Quebec City region, the Bloc trails the Tories by 21 points.
One out of every three people who voted Bloc in 2006 is now poised to vote for a federalist party, with most choosing to support either the NDP or the Conservatives. Don't look for many to support the Liberals - they could be campaigning on the moon; they're completely out of the game.
The NDP, traditionally absent from Quebec, is now polling stronger than the Dion Liberals among francophones. With only 13 per cent support from francophone voters, the Liberal party is five points behind the NDP.
The numbers by regions are devastating for the Liberals. In the Quebec City region, Stéphane Dion's hometown, only one voter in 10 supports the Liberals. The party can't even count on its provincial cousins for help; 38 per cent of those who support the Quebec Liberal Party plan to vote for the Conservatives federally. One surprising finding of the poll is that a quarter of the supporters of the Association Démocratique du Québec, the ADQ, a right-wing provincial party, would rather vote for the socialists than for the Liberals.
The black cherry on the melting sundae is that no more than half of the Liberal supporters consider that Mr. Dion would be the best prime minister. If an election was held now, the Liberals would end up with about 10 seats (out of 75), all of them in predominantly anglophone areas. This showing reflects the weakness of the opposition rather than the strength of the government, which has a satisfaction rate hovering around 50 per cent (except in the Tory blue Quebec City area, where voter satisfaction reaches 63 per cent).
Stephen Harper is a very lucky man. His record in government is far from stellar. There is no substantial project on his agenda except immigration reform. His diplomatic skills are almost laughable. His secretive ways and obsessive need to control everything make this government akin to a soft personal dictatorship.
My guess is that most Canadians would be unable to name more than three or four cabinet ministers in the Conservative government, and with good reason: The ministers are mute and invisible, and when they escape from the tight leash of the Prime Minister's Office, they make huge blunders, the latest cases in point being Labour Minister Jean-Pierre Blackburn's musings on the Constitution and Foreign Minister Maxime Bernier's indiscretion about Canada wanting to replace Kandahar's governor.
But Mr. Harper is blessed with an inefficient Opposition Leader, and he benefits from a rather disturbing trend: Voters seem happy with minority governments. This is especially true in Quebec, where Premier Jean Charest has gained in popularity since he's been heading a minority government. Never mind that minority governments never really govern - they just surf along, afraid of tackling anything that would be mildly controversial. One is forced to conclude that voters like impotent governments, which means that they are pretty happy with the status quo - or just too indolent to face change.
geo said:When Brian Mulroney came to power, he brought in a majority Progressive Conservative government. That election saw a large number of dissatisfied Quebec Liberals who, motivated by Lucien Bouchard & Brian Mulroney's Quebec roots - threw their lot in with the PCs.
It is these same dissatisfied Liberals who voted PC - that are at the root of the Bloc. When Lucien decided that Brian wasn't going to provide him with what he wanted - he struck off on his own with his Quebec based PCs.....
10 things Conservatives need to face, ideally soon
Although Stephen Harper's Conservatives seem to be running a careful show in Ottawa, they need to overcome ten (count'em, ten) problems before they can move beyond being a minority government. Basically speaking, I really think the governing party needs to overcome the majority of these problems before anything better can happen come the next election.
1. The stereotype of a far right agenda - It still exists and votes are still being lost. Although the minority Conservative government is with accomplishment, don't expect radical capitalism. But some people are and they're voting against it, despite there not being an "it".
2. The stereotype of being "too obedient" to the United States - The whole "tight" relationship had been idealized on both sides, but is only a few decades young for most Canadians. Despite much cultural assimilation, a lot of Canadians have a friendly bitter attitude towards the southern neighbors and are hesitant about any government that's too friendly.
3. The stereotype of catering to corporate interests - This one exists despite there being noticeable action from this government against corporations doing as they please, the stereotype thrives. Proposals to regulate natural "medicines" have their perks but are seen too much as catering to pharmaceutical corporations. This stuff gets misinterpreted and it wounds in the ballot box.
4. The environment - This issue could have been faced early on, but was neglected somewhat in 2006. Generally, the Harper government mis-valued this one and still needs to do damage control quickly.
5. Inspiration from atop - The best way to secure votes is to be inspirational to Canadians. Stephen Harper is inspirational, but in a "look what an ordinary Canadian can accomplish" sort of way. Aside from the neo-socialist/commie flirtation, there may be a need for a few references and ideas from people like Obama and Trudeau when it comes to inspiring the public.
6. Accountability - Albeit not directly related to the government, the bad news brought up by the quarrel of sorts with Elections Canada and the resurrected Brian Mulroney have caused some bad impressions to be given.
7. Privacy Issues - Canadians are concerned about their privacy and security, probably more than the partisan bickering in Ottawa. A successful government needs to address such concerns.
8. The West still wants in! - There's been more talk than action on this one, and all of the Quebec leniencies aren't being taken well, no sir.
9. The 'religious right' stereotype - Enough said.
10. Liberal loyalty - It seems inconceivable that 30% of voters would vote for Stephane Dion's Liberals because they actually think they're performing exceptionally. The opposition has a history and many are loyal to their past achievements. People are voting Liberal because that is what they know, if that makes sense.
If Stephen Harper's Conservatives deal with a majority of these, in addition to our question-marked economy, then the next federal election will be a good one.
Will Dion Respect me Next Morning?
The two most recent Liberal dynasties owed a great deal, for their existence, to world class lies.
Pierre Trudeau lied to Canadians about a made-in-Canada price for oil and was able to defeat Joe Clark and his eighteen cent gas tax. At that time Canada was a net importer and was unable to produce sufficient oil, because the Liberal- decreed wellhead price was too low to entice oil extraction. Trudeau knew this but played politics with it. Once he was re-elected the price was allowed to rise by more than a dollar.
Chretien had similar disrespect for Canadians, and lied to them emphatically about removing the unpopular GST. Once elected on this promise he was eventually called on it. In response he exhibited probably the most gall in Canadian history, by lying about having made the promise. Rather than being turfed out of office at the first opportunity, he was re-elected twice. The indifference of voters to such abuse, probably had a lot to do with the development of a culture in which adscam politics was acceptable behaviour.
The reason I have reviewed these is because of Dion’s latest ruminations about energy taxes. It is tempting to think that this guy has a political death wish, but then these previous incidents show that perhaps Canadians, and especially Ontario, exhibit one as well. Both these men were obvious one night stand con-artists, and yet we fell for them. To emphasize the point, we re-elected McGuinty, whose abuse of our trust made us feel like battered partners.
Before wading further into this wonderland, consider the absurdity of this proposal at this time. If new energy taxes ever see the light, they might arrive about the time gas hits two dollars a litre. Evidently Mr. Dion thinks that the Canadian driver will do nothing in self-defense while these prices rise inexorably, and must be wacked with a new tax to make him see the light. Which tax, by then, will be about as popular as a social disease.
But wait, this tax will be revenue neutral, a promise made in the memory of all past Liberals. And if you believe that, you are still in the subservient position we left you in during the Chretien dark ages. No less an authority than the TD bank, reported at the end of that period, that all wage gains made by Canadian workers in that time, were taxed away by the ever ready hand in your pocket. After all there were brown envelopes to stuff, people to pay.
Let me conclude by wondering… does no one see anything strange about a platform which contains nothing but a potentially devastating new tax? A tax which in spite of its potential to devastate our economy, is founded on an illusory goal. I just read that China is projected to build almost 600 new coal-fired generating plants. Whatever you think about the truth of global warming, it is obvious that we may be jeopardizing our economy and the wealth of future generations, for nothing. The one sure thing that appears endangered in a Canada with Mr. Dion and the Liberals at the helm, is disposable income.
Monday, June 02, 2008
The deadline for the grits June 3
The grits "leadership" candidates will have to .come clean on their loans on June 3. Iggy is still begging Dion is forlorn and many of the others have paid little on their debt.
We will now see the grits at elections Canada now given their grit masters a break and either prolong the deadline or forgive the debt. The optics will not be good. At the same time elections Canad is persecuting the Tories, they will be seen as bending over backwards for their grit masters. We'll have to wait until June 3 to see what elections Canada does. I wonder is the grit MSM will be at all interested
While estimates of who owes what vary widely, Dion appears to be carrying the heaviest debt load. His office won't comment on specific sums, but he could still owe well over $800,000, an amount his supporters say privately is due to his constant campaigning for the party at the expense of his own debt.
In contrast, MPs Bob Rae (Toronto Centre) and Carolyn Bennett (St. Paul's) have paid off their leadership campaign debts in full. Thanks to the refund to each candidate of the $50,000 registration fee, both are slightly in the black.
Sachin Aggarwal, financial agent for deputy leader Michael Ignatieff (Etobicoke-Lakeshore) said he hoped the most recent fundraiser was enough to pay the last of a debt that once topped $770,000. The total won't be clear until closer to the June 3 deadline, and he noted the campaign could still be out about $100,000.
Other former candidates with varying amounts to pay include: Former Ontario cabinet minister Gerald Kennedy and MPs Martha Hall Findlay (Willowdale), Maurizio Bevilacqua (Vaughan), Scott Brison (Kings-Hants), Ken Dryden (York Centre), Hedy Fry (Vancouver Centre) and Joe Volpe (Eglinton-Lawrence).
Duff Conacher, co-ordinator of Democracy Watch, a non-partisan group based in Ottawa, argues there shouldn't be loopholes allowing candidates to get around paying back loans by June 3.
"Elections Canada will be acting unethically and undemocratically if it lets any of the Liberal leadership candidates extend their loans past the 18-month deadline," said Conacher.
"This will let the candidates off the hook for essentially using loans to raise money for their campaigns in excess of the legal donations limits."
Conacher also says he would be angry if he were a Liberal watching money going to fundraising to pay down leadership debts when the party itself needs money. The latest financial returns filed with Elections Canada for the first quarter of 2008 show the Conservatives raised almost $5 million, while the NDP took in $1.1 million and the Liberals $846,000.
The rules put a limit of $1,100 on contributions, but a person can give that amount to a leadership candidate, as well as to a by-election race, as well as making a yearly donation of the same amount to the party.
Will Elections Canada come down hard on Liberals and their unpaid campaign loans?
Today is June 3, meaning all Liberal leadership debts must be paid off according to the rules set out by Elections Canada. Will there be a raid at Liberal headquarters in Ottawa today to obtain documentation related to these debts? How will Elections Canada deal with the majority of leadership candidates who still have balances outstanding in violation of the rules? According to the Star, Stephane Dion owes somewhere around $400,000. Martha Hall Findlay $200,000. Ken Dryden $375,000. Scott Brison owes somewhere around $40,000. Gerard Kennedy owed $400,000 a couple months ago. Joe Volpe owed around $135,000; Maurizio Bevilacqua owed about $243,000 and Hedy Fry owed about $107,000. Bob Rae and Carolyn Bennett have paid off their debts already. It will be interesting to see how Elections Canada deals with this situation. Ultimately I am sure the candidates will be granted extensions and a lesson will be learned for future leadership races. In granting that extension, Elections Canada will have to explain why they are showing preferential treatment to Liberals after organizing an RCMP raid at Conservative headquarters only a few months ago on the so called “in and out” scandal.
Outside of the potential double standard with regards to Elections Canada, these leadership debts raise some serious questions about the ability of Liberals to raise money under the accountability act and rules brought in by Jean Chrétien. Why are individual Liberal members not donating to the cause? Are Liberals financially prepared to fight an election? Can Liberals compete when large donations from the wealthy, unions and corporations are no longer legal? What does this say about Dion’s leadership and the morale of grassroots Liberals?
"I'm working to pay this debt and I will and it's part of my duty,"
-Stephane Dion
"Over an eight-month campaign for the leadership of our party in 2006, in the second biggest country in the world, I spent a little over $2 million. (U.S. Democratic presidential contender) Barack Obama spends that amount on his national campaign every day! So I feel – as do all the leadership candidates – that we gave the party and the country a great race, at a very competitive price,"
-Michael Ignatieff
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The Law:
435.38 (1) The Chief Electoral Officer, on the written application of a leadership contestant or his or her financial agent, may authorize
(a) the extension of a period provided in subsection 435.3(4) or 435.35(3); or
(b) the correction, within a specified period, of a document referred to in subsection 435.3(1) or updated document referred to in subsection 435.35(1).
(2) An application may be made (a) under paragraph (1)(a), within the period provided in subsection 435.3(4) or 435.35(3), as the case may be; and
(b) under paragraph (1)(b), as soon as the applicant becomes aware of the need for correction.
(3) The Chief Electoral Officer may not authorize an extension or correction unless he or she is satisfied by the evidence submitted by the applicant that the circumstances giving rise to the application arose by reason of
(a) the illness of the applicant;
(b) the absence, death, illness or misconduct of the financial agent or a predecessor;
(c) the absence, death, illness or misconduct of a clerk or an officer of the financial agent, or a predecessor of one of them; or
(d) inadvertence or an honest mistake of fact.
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Michael Ignatieff
Dear Friends,
Over an eight month campaign for the leadership of our party in 2006, in the second biggest country in the world, I spent a little over $2million dollars. Barack Obama spends that amount on his national campaign every day! So I feel - as do all the leadership candidates - that we gave the party and the country a great race, at a very competitive price.
We raised the money on the old rules limiting donations to $5400.00. Now we’re repaying debt following the new rules, which limit contributions to $1100. So it hasn’t been easy, but we’re getting there.
I’ve held fund-raisers across the country and I’m incredibly grateful to all the generous people who contributed sums large and small to enable me to pay off my debt, and to the campaign workers and suppliers who put their faith in me as a candidate. I’ve also raised money for Liberal candidates and MP’s right across the country, as have the other leadership candidates.
My debt started at about $800,000. On June 3, when Elections Canada requires all of the leadership candidates to file returns, I will be reporting the significant progress that I have made with your help. I don’t quite know where I’ll be on that day - some contributions are still in the pipeline or are being processed by the party - but I will not be fully paid off by the deadline. I am within striking distance and expect to pay off the debt completely by the end of the summer.
So, dear friends, if you have not given your maximum of $1100 and still have a generous thought towards me or the other candidates, think of contributing online. Any amount large and small would be appreciated, and remember that you are helping us to keep our promises to all the people who put their faith in us and the party.
Thank you,
Michael
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Thanks for reading…
Darryl
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Dion under fire for debts
Nine former candidates for leadership will tell Elections Canada they need more time to pay
Jun 03, 2008 04:30 AM
Susan Delacourt
Ottawa Bureau
OTTAWA–Liberal Leader Stéphane Dion and eight other former candidates for his job will be telling Elections Canada today that they need more time to pay off an estimated $2 million or more in leftover loans and debt from the 2006 leadership campaign.
"I'm working to pay this debt and I will and it's part of my duty," Dion told reporters yesterday.
Conservatives are seizing on the extended-payment request as yet more evidence that Dion isn't fit to be prime minister and proof that Elections Canada is playing favourites with Liberals in the midst of its ongoing dispute with Prime Minister Stephen Harper's party over election finances.