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Canadian Federal Budget 2014 (11 Feb 2014)

McG

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Budget day has been set.  Canadians will have to take a step back from the Olympics long enough to see what comes out in this.
Flaherty says federal budget to come down Feb. 11
Global News
27 January 2014

OTTAWA – If there was any doubt the upcoming federal budget would be a low-key affair, the Harper Conservatives erased it Monday by announcing plans to deliver their new spending plan during the Winter Olympics.

Finance Minister Jim Flaherty said he’ll table the budget on Feb. 11, when many Canadians are likely to be focused on Sochi and hoping for gold-medal performances from their would-be Olympic heroes.

New Democrat Leader Tom Mulcair quickly accused the Conservatives of seeking to avoid public scrutiny of what he predicted would be a no-news, austerity-driven budget, bereft of plans or programs to help create jobs.

“People need help now and the Conservatives should be acting now,” Mulcair said.

“But it’s quite obvious that they’re holding everything in abeyance so that they can have a good-news budget next year, try to claim – without ever having to measure it – that they’re heading for a balanced budget and announce all sorts of things.”

The Conservatives are planning to post a surplus in 2015, just in time for the next election. The extra cash would allow them to pay for some long-promised election plums, including income splitting for tax purposes.

Dropping this year’s budget in the middle of the Olympics is a “triumph of politics over economic reality,” said former Liberal finance minister Ralph Goodale.

“They obviously don’t want much attention (on) this budget, so bury it when people will be paying attention to other things.”

A majority of Canadians are expected to follow the Olympics closely, albeit not as much as they did during the 2010 Games in Vancouver, suggests a new Harris-Decima poll provided to The Canadian Press.

Women’s hockey, curling, skating and speedskating are among the events on the Sochi schedule for Feb. 11, with finals in snowboarding, cross-country and freestyle skiing.

The Harper government has long touted its economic stewardship as a key strength, something Flaherty said would be underscored in the budget. But he offered no new hints as to what the document might hold.

Flaherty has, however, played down the idea that there might be some goodies coming, insisting such spending would have to wait until after the books are balanced.

“I’m not going to spend a lot of money, but I’m not the only person who makes these decisions,” he said earlier in the day after a meeting with economists.

But he said there may be more money down the road for programs like the Canada Job Grant, which the provinces have resisted, saying it would claw back existing federal funds for provincially run programs.

“There will be room for more money in the government of Canada in the next several years because we’ve been careful and we’ve paid down the deficit and we’ll be in a position to have room to move on various issues.”

Flaherty also waved off suggestions that the books could end up balanced a year earlier than expected, but didn’t dismiss the idea entirely.

The government takes a “substantial” $3-billion adjustment for risk, Flaherty said. But given the substantial cost of major floods in Alberta and New Brunswick this year, “we’re being prudent,” he added.

Ottawa took a $3-billion hit from the Alberta floods alone, so Flaherty has built in a cushion in order to be able to respond to future unforeseen events.

“We know we’re on track to balance in 2015-16, and we said when we ran the deficit, because of the great recession, we said we would balance in the medium term and we’ll balance in the medium term,” he said.

“But we’re going to be cautious in the meantime.”

The new budget will continue to focus on jobs and economic growth, he told the Commons.

Royal Bank economist Craig Wright said he thinks it’s feasible that the Conservatives could eliminate the deficit in the 2014-15 fiscal year, which begins in April.

“We would not be shocked to see them come into balance that year if they chose to,” Wright said.

Flaherty is projecting a deficit of $5.5 billion in the upcoming budget, along with $3 billion in reserves, Wright said. “Then you just need a small swing on any of these big measures – either revenue or expenditure – to get back in balance.”
http://globalnews.ca/news/1109406/watch-minister-of-finance-meets-private-sector-economists/
 
Here's some predictions to kick off the thread in anticipation of tomorrow's Budget speech ....
Finance Minister Jim Flaherty says his budget to be tabled Tuesday will include targeted measures to promote job creation and protect consumers' spending power.

After years of spending cuts and austerity, Flaherty isn't about to yank open the purse strings. But in a one-on-one pre-budget interview with CBC News, the finance minister says tackling youth unemployment is a priority.

"And I agree with those who suggest there is a challenge for young people getting the first job, even (the) well-educated, well-skilled. So, we need to try to help and we will," he said ....
CBC.ca, 10 Feb 14

The federal Conservatives are rolling out tightly targeted measures to boost Canada’s modest recovery, aiming at stubbornly high youth unemployment and pumping new funds into infrastructure projects.

Finance Minister Jim Flaherty is set to unveil on Tuesday a final phase of belt-tightening in a budget that is a prologue to balancing the books just ahead of an expected 2015 federal election – a feat the Tories hope will generate sufficient surplus cash to offer tax cuts and other inducements to voters ....
G&M, 9 Feb 14

Tuesday’s budget will pledge funding for jobs training, particularly for youth and aboriginals, while putting Ottawa on track to “clearly” balance the books in 2015, Finance Minister Jim Flaherty says.

While painted as a “stay-the-course” budget, Flaherty suggested Sunday that the federal government will focus on getting more Canadians into the work force.

In particular, he said the funding will have an emphasis on helping youth and aboriginals find work at a time when young people face double-digit unemployment rate ....
TorStar, 9 Feb 14

The federal budget, being tabled Tuesday, will put money into job creation and infrastructure while remaining risk-free, Finance Minister Jim Flaherty told political talk shows Sunday.

“This year we’re approaching balance,” Flaherty told Global’s The West Block. “If we really, really pushed it and took some risk, we can balance the budget earlier perhaps, but we don’t want to do that. We will balance next year in 2015.”

Flaherty told CTV’s Question Period that the budget’s emphasis will be on the economy and job creation, but stressed that the government is being “careful” and “cautious.”

“We’ve looked at hundreds of issues and some of the most important ones are relating to jobs, relating to young people, relating to apprenticeships, relating to internships, relating to getting people that first job even though they’re well educated and so-on,” he said ....
NatPost, 9 Feb 14
 
“We’ve looked at hundreds of issues and some of the most important ones are relating to jobs, relating to young people, relating to apprenticeships, relating to internships, relating to getting people that first job even though they’re well educated and so-on,” he said ....

Jayzus..... It should be a natural fit with the CF. 

Young people.  Check
Job.  Check
Training/Apprenticeships/Internships. Check (If the accreditation systems in this country weren't such a hodge podge of guilds, unions, provinces, private enterprise and plain jobbery.)

It should be a natural fit.  It won't be.  :'(
 
ArmyVern said:

Just heard we lost 2 Billion. So what units will they reduce to nil strength and how many more staff positions will be created to supervise it?

I am somewhat.....dismayed over the leadership - or lack thereof - when it comes to defence matters in this nation.

 
I thought I heard Terry Maleski say $600M on CBC... 
 
Most of the cuts are to procurement they're delaying projects for a few more years.
 
Budget 2014 site still not working as of this post, but here's the speech, courtesy of The Canadian Press (spoiler - no refs to CF):
Mr. Speaker, nearly 150 years ago, Canada was founded with fiscal responsibility as its cornerstone. The men and women who carved this great country out of the wilderness simply called it “good government.”

That’s what Minister of Finance John Rose was talking about when he stood before this assembly to deliver Canada’s first budget speech in 1868. He said, “I say that we ought to be most careful in our outlay, and consider well every shilling we expend.”

Now, that’s just old-fashioned English for old-fashioned common sense. And it is that solid, Canadian common sense that has guided our Government through good times and bad.

Mr. Speaker, I am proud to rise today to present Canada’s Economic Action Plan 2014.

This prudent plan builds on our record of strong, sound and consistent fiscal management. It is a low-tax plan to promote jobs and economic growth and support Canadian families. And it is a common sense plan that will see Canada return to a balanced budget in 2015.

Economic Action Plan 2014 sticks to the principles that we adopted when I rose to deliver our Government’s first budget in 2006 during good times. What did our Government do then, when our budget was in surplus and when few could see dark clouds on the horizon?

• We paid down our federal debt.

• We lowered taxes for families and job creators.

• We made sure our fiscal house was in order.

Why did we do this? Because it was the responsible way to a brighter future for Canadians.

Financial prudence now leads to financial prosperity in the future. It leads to opportunity. And so it was that when economic bad times came, our country was better prepared than most.

Since the depths of the recession Canada has led the G-7 in job creation. Coming out of the recession Canada had a triple-A credit rating with a stable outlook—which was and still is virtually unmatched among our peers. We have the best net debt-to-GDP ratio among G-7 nations.

There are many reasons to be optimistic. There are signs of recovery around us. But there are also troubled waters.

The world economy is still fragile—one need look no further than Europe and the emerging economies to see that. Here at home, household debt is still higher than we’d like to see. And there are still too many Canadians looking for work, and too many employers looking for workers. There is still work to be done.

As my favourite Father of Confederation, Thomas D’Arcy McGee, once said, “We are in the rapids and must go on.” And so, even as the times get better again, we will stay the course that has worked so well.

Mr. Speaker, Sir John A. Macdonald—my other favourite Father of Confederation—could have been talking about our Economic Action Plan when he said, “the Government are merely trustees for the public.” And that is why we are so committed to balancing the budget and returning Canada to a position of fiscal strength.

When governments run prolonged deficits, they are spending money that belongs to future generations. Deficit spending endangers social programs we benefit from and our children will soon depend on.

We also recognize that balanced budgets are important to the long-term prosperity of this country, inspiring confidence in investors and consumers, whose dollars grow the economy and create jobs, and ensuring interest rates stay low.

Canadians have trusted us with the economy and we have delivered. As we have promised, our Government remains committed to balancing the budget in 2015.

But I must be clear: we did not do this on the backs of ordinary Canadians or Canadians in need, or at the expense of our provinces and territories. We did not cut the programs Canadians rely on. We did not cut transfers to our provinces and territories—money they use for things like education and health care.

Rather, we did this by getting our own fiscal house in order. And, Mr. Speaker, that is exactly how our Government will continue. Our Government has reduced direct program spending for the third year in a row in 2012–13. That is something no other government has done in decades.

Our Government continues to eliminate waste that will cut the cost of government without cutting programs Canadians depend on.

Going forward:

• The Government will freeze the operating expenses of departments.

• We will continue to divest government assets when in the best interest of Canadians to do so.

By doing these things, we will not only balance the budget in 2015, we will achieve a surplus. But let me be clear: a return to surplus is not a licence to spend recklessly. What we will do—what we have always done—is stay the course.

We will make sure Canada’s fiscal position remains strong, strong enough to weather any future global economic storms. That starts with paying down the debt. And keeping taxes low.

Even in the toughest economic times, our Government has worked hard to reduce the tax burden for Canadian families and Canadian businesses. In fact, the federal tax burden is the lowest it has been in 50 years.

Since taking office we:

• Delivered more than 160 tax relief measures.

• Lowered the GST to 5 per cent from 7 per cent.

• Introduced pension income splitting for seniors.

• Created the Working Income Tax Benefit—WITB—to help ensure that low-income workers are better off by taking a job.

Now, an average family of four pays $3,400 less in tax in a year. But we also know that taxes help fund programs and services Canadians rely on. And we will keep closing tax loopholes so every Canadian pays their fair share.

Mr. Speaker, by keeping taxes low we have created the best environment for business investment in the G-7. And those businesses create jobs for Canadians. Creating jobs and opportunities remains our Government’s top priority.

We already have the best record for job creation among G-7 nations. Since the depths of the economic recession, employment has increased by more than 1 million. These jobs are overwhelmingly full-time and in the private sector. And we’re making sure that opportunities are there for everyone.

We have invested in apprenticeship programs and measures to increase the numbers of people with disabilities, young people and Aboriginal Canadians in the workforce by helping them find the job training they need. But there is more we can and will do:

• That’s why today I am pleased to announce the Canada Apprentice Loan, which will give apprentices registered in Red Seal trades access to interest-free student loans millions of other Canadians have benefited from previously.

• And that is why the Prime Minister announced more than $1.9 billion in new funding to implement the First Nations Control of First Nations Education Act.

Canada has one of the best-educated workforces in the world. In fact, the number of Canadians under 25 with university degrees has gone up by more than 50 per cent since 2002.

Still, getting that first job after finishing college or university can be challenging. To help young people get the first, critical work experience they need, our Government will focus investment to support internships in high-demand fields and in small and medium-sized businesses.

As well, we will support two programs that will help people with disabilities find jobs and stay employed.

• Ready, Willing & Able is an initiative to help Canadians with intellectual disabilities become part of the workforce.

• We will also invest in a program to help young people with autism find rewarding jobs.

We will also implement an enhanced Job Matching Service to help unemployed Canadians get back to work by connecting them with employers looking to hire individuals with their skill set.

We will also introduce a new Expression of Interest system to ensure Canada has an efficient, flexible immigration system that matches the needs of employers.

Mr. Speaker, Canada leads the G-7 when it comes to investing in post-secondary research. And we know that investments in science and technology help Canadian business remain competitive while creating high-paying jobs.

That’s why we have invested more than $11 billion in new resources since 2006 to support science, technology and innovative companies that are opening new frontiers for Canada. And that’s why I am very pleased today to announce our Government’s investment in the Canada First Research Excellence Fund.

This fund will support the strategic research priorities of Canada’s post-secondary institutions and help them excel globally in research areas that create long-term economic advantages for Canada.

In addition, Mr. Speaker, Budget 2014 will result in the largest annual increase in funding for research through the granting councils in over a decade.

In Canada’s very first budget speech Finance Minister John Rose said, “What this country wants is care and judgement in the development of its resources.” Those words still ring true today. That’s why our Government is promoting safe, responsible resource development that is not bogged down by unnecessary red tape.

Minister Rose also said, “We must not neglect the means necessary to bring our products of all kinds to a profitable market.”

That is also true today, especially when it comes to energy. Making sure that Canadian energy remains available to markets around the world is a priority for this Government.

That’s why I am happy to announce today that Economic Action Plan 2014 sets aside funds for review of projects like the Energy East Pipeline proposal.

In addition, Canada has always been an exporting nation. Our investment in the new Windsor-Detroit crossing means Canadian goods will get to market faster, allowing businesses to grow, expand trade and help to secure a prosperous future.

Our Government is committed to protecting Canada’s environment. And that commitment is evident in our ongoing investment in National Parks. In fact, since coming to office we have added more than 160,000 square kilometres to our National Parks and marine conservation system.

These priceless natural and historical places are a spectacular legacy for our children and we must ensure they remain pristine. I am pleased to announce that our Government is investing to maintain these national treasures for the next generation to enjoy.

We will make substantial investments through Parks Canada to improve the highways, bridges and dams located in our National Parks and along our historic canals.

We know partnering with committed citizen groups can make conservation dollars stretch farther. That’s why we introduced the Recreational Fisheries Conservation Partnerships Program, which doubled the impact of every dollar invested in its first year.

Today we are increasing our commitment to protect even more sensitive fish habitat in the future.

Canada is blessed with a network of recreational trails that allow Canadians to connect with nature all year round. It pleases me to announce that our Government will partner with the National Trails Coalition to make this recreational experience even better, fulfilling another of our 2011 platform commitments.

Families are the lifeblood of every community. Our Government is working hard to ensure that Canadian families are protected in their communities. As part of these efforts, we will create a DNA-based Missing Persons Index to help bring some peace to the families of missing persons. For that, I want to thank Judy Peterson.

Mr. Speaker, we are also standing up for hard-working families trying to make ends meet. Our Consumers First agenda will help ensure Canadians are also protected in the marketplace. When Canadian families spend their hard-earned money, they should be confident that they are being treated fairly in a competitive marketplace. That’s why we took steps to increase competition in the wireless sector, which has reduced wireless rates by 20 per cent.

That’s why we are:

• Taking steps to lower wholesale roaming rates within Canada; and

• Giving the CRTC the power to impose financial penalties on companies that do not comply with the rules.

We will also:

• Introduce legislation to address the price gap between identical goods sold in Canada and the United States.

• Continue our investments in Canada’s food safety system by hiring more inspectors to ensure the food destined for Canadian dinner tables is safe.

• Prohibit the pay-to-pay practice that charges consumers for paper bills— including printed credit card statements.

• Reduce red tape for charities by enabling them to apply for registration and file their annual returns electronically.

• Make major investments to improve broadband coverage in rural and northern communities.

Mr. Speaker, I am proud of our Government’s record of fiscal restraint and good management. This record has been the envy of the world. I believe we have been, as Sir John A. wanted us to be, “trustees for the public.”

And I know that I speak on behalf of all my colleagues when I say that we are truly grateful to all Canadians for putting their trust in us.

We have worked hard. And we will continue to work hard to, as Thomas D’Arcy McGee said, “strengthen the faith of our people in their own future, the faith of every Canadian in Canada.”

Mr. Speaker, the plan unveiled today is another prudent step toward that brighter future.

Thank you.
Questions in the House have the FinMin saying something to the effect that funding to the CF hasn't been cut, that it's there, but it's been "moved forward."  Longer wait for mukluks, maybe?
 
From CBC.

Breaking
Budget 2014: Military wings clipped again in budget
By James Cudmore, CBC News Posted: Feb 11, 2014 4:35 PM ET Last Updated: Feb 11, 2014 4:35 PM ET
In what amounts to the second major spanking it’s faced in as many weeks, the Defence department was effectively stripped today of more than $3 billion it had planned to spend on major new military purchases in the near future.

In its latest budget, the Conservative government announced it will reclaim the $3.1 billion in cash it had planned to allocate to the military over the coming years but restore if four years hence, so the gear can be bought then.

“To ensure that funding for vital National Defence equipment is available for planned requirements, the government is shifting $3.1 billion of National Defence funding for major capital procurements to future years in which key purchases will be made,” the budget said.

The budget cut will have the effect of preventing the military from buying some vital gear for which it had lobbied long and hard to win approval.

Procurements delayed
A series of major procurement delays has prevented it year after year from spending all the cash it’s been allocated

Finance minister Jim Flaherty says the government plans to take that cash back until the military is sure it can spend it.

“We’re not reducing spending on the armed forces,” Flaherty told reporters. “There is no point in having money there to spend, if they can’t spend it, which they can’t.”

In 2008, the government announced a major new military investment plan called the Canada First Defence Strategy that detailed hundreds of billions of dollars in defence capital acquisitions.

It included new ships, helicopters, fighter jets, armoured vehicles and more.


A Canadian Forces pilot has his picture taken in front of a F-35 Strike Fighter prior to an announcement in Ottawa, on July 16, 2010. In its 2014 budget the government moved today to reclaim $3.1B in military procurement funds it says the military can't spend. Adrian Wyld/Canadian Press (The Canadian Press)
But the military has had a hard time closing on the deals, despite the billions in allocated cash.

Sahir Khan, a senior fellow at the University of Ottawa, said Flaherty’s budget move reflects this military failure.

“It’s a result of the fact the government has had a challenge in procuring this equipment,” he said. “Then we’re back to the challenge of does the military have the equipment it needs to discharge its obligations.”

Khan suggested the failure to buy new gear was not just a military problem, but was really a government-wide problem that has lead to a widening gulf between what it promised in its Canada First Defence Strategy and what it was actually able to deliver.

“The budget documents, as they often are, are very short on details, but they certainly invite a series of questions from parliamentarians and Canadians about what actually is going on with defence procurement strategy with the government,” Khan said.

Last week, the government announced a series of reforms to defence procurement that saw effective control and responsibility stripped from the military and handed to bureaucrats at the government’s contracting department, Public Works and Government Services Canada.

The move was viewed as a radical remake of defence procurement and the end of a years-long war – one that was lost by the military.
The list of slipped, stalled or failed procurements is lengthy and includes new maritime helicopters to replace Canada’s 50-year old Sea King helicopters, new search and rescue planes, new armoured vehicles, new army trucks and even new rifles for Canada’s Arctic and northern Ranger force.

In past, the military had received permission to “reprofile” cash it could not spend on certain purchases, and spend it on others.

In recent years the government has even allowed the military to keep as much as $1.5 billion in so-called “lapsed cash.”

The fact the government is now apparently no longer willing to allow the military to hang on to and “reprofile” cash allocated for procurements it’s unable to complete suggests the military has been spanked yet again.


Pressure on the military

The problem with lapsed or failed procurements is that they exert additional financial pressure on the military.

It frequently costs more to operate and maintain old and tired equipment then it does new operate the new stuff.

These costs will now arise as the military still struggles to implement a series of government budgets cuts from previous years that have taken a dramatic toll on the military’s ability to spend.

“The budget has come down quite significantly,” says Dave Perry, defence economist at the Conference of Defence Associations Institute.

“The net impact on all of that on the current fiscal year is that there is roughly $4 billion less money for defence than the government said there would be when it issued the Canada First Defence Strategy.”

That calculation includes the $3.1 billion announced today, which is spread across four budget years.

It also includes roughly $1 billion per year in reductions attributable to a government spending review, another $1.12 billion per year under the Deficit Reduction Action Plan, and other lapsed or lost cash.

Perry says that means the military is now being hit on two fronts: The regular budget it uses to fund its operations and maintenance, and now also on procurement.

“I think right now the challenge is the plan,” Perry says. “Because the government doesn’t seem to have any kind of commitment to retain the funding” it had promised in the Canada First Defence Strategy.

“The government overall is cutting program spending across government, and if you want to keep on doing that you can’t keep spending what they wanted to on defence.”

And on that front, it appears the government has already begun a reckoning. Although the details are still hidden, the government is currently conducting a so-called reset of that Canada First Defence Strategy.

It’s not clear when that review will be complete
 
jollyjacktar said:
I thought I heard Terry Maleski say $600M on CBC...

3.1 billion moved to FY 16/17 according to the Globe and Mail
 
Who's up for some light (420+ pages) reading of Budget 2014 (PDF)?  ;D

MARS said:
3.1 billion moved to FY 16/17 according to the Globe and Mail

From the document:
.... To ensure that funding is available when needed for planned procurements, the Government is moving $3.1 billion in National Defence funding for major capital procurements from the 2013-14 to 2016-17 period to future years in which key purchases will be made ....

First-pass coverage from CBC.ca:
In what amounts to the second major spanking it’s faced in as many weeks, the Defence department was effectively stripped today of more than $3 billion it had planned to spend on major new military purchases in the near future.

In its latest budget, the Conservative government announced it will reclaim the $3.1 billion in cash it had planned to allocate to the military over the coming years but restore if four years hence, so the gear can be bought then.

“To ensure that funding for vital National Defence equipment is available for planned requirements, the government is shifting $3.1 billion of National Defence funding for major capital procurements to future years in which key purchases will be made,” the budget said.

The budget cut will have the effect of preventing the military from buying some vital gear for which it had lobbied long and hard to win approval.

A series of major procurement delays has prevented it year after year from spending all the cash it’s been allocated

Finance minister Jim Flaherty says the government plans to take that cash back until the military is sure it can spend it.

“We’re not reducing spending on the armed forces,” Flaherty told reporters. “There is no point in having money there to spend, if they can’t spend it, which they can’t.” ....
 
I'm sure we all knew it was coming but... ouch! We just got sodomized with a baseball bat and no lube!

As usual we'll see the various details over the next few days. This would be a good place to track them.
 
That does make sense sort of.....it seems we are thuds when it comes to budgets.

My expertise is not in this area.....so if anyone who is more familar with this process should explain it in terms even an Infantry RSM can understand......
 
AirDet said:
I'm sure we all knew it was coming but... ouch! We just got sodomized with a baseball bat and no lube!

As usual we'll see the various details over the next few days. This would be a good place to track them.

Interesting choice of words - any details shared would be nice.

Also, merging into discussion already under way.

Milnet.ca Staff
 
milnews.ca said:
Interesting choice of words - any details shared would be nice.

Also, merging into discussion already under way.

Milnet.ca Staff

Thanks for moving my post. I didn't see this thread earlier when looking for an appropriate place.

As for the budget, we've lost 4 Billion Cdn. That's just a start. I'm sure there are other paragraphs that apply to VAC or our DND Pers.

I'm going to have a look at the online document tonight but I think it's a fair assessment that the proposed LSS (ships) are gone. The new fighter purchase is likely being sent back to the drawing board (at least until after the next election).

On the up side, this is essentially a balanced budget! Next year is forecasted to be a surplus budget. This isn't an easy feat and it will have a positive long-term effect on Canada.
 
slayer/raptor said:
Has the money for postings been cut?

Too early to tell I think.

I can imagine the gnashing of teeth and wringing of hands in the upper echelons......

 
I was really hoping for income splitting... thought they might sneak that one in there this year.
 
slayer/raptor said:
Has the money for postings been cut?

Decisions on funding for cost moves for this APS and beyond were made well in advance of the federal budget.  That's internal to DND/CAF prioritization of O&M allocations.
 
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