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Israel strikes Hard at Hamas In Gaza- Dec/ 27/ 2008

    If things are truly that calm and peaceful now in Cyprus, why are the peacekeepers still there then? I've been to Nicosia, it's a far cry from what I've seen of the Gaza strip on the news, so yes the UN has worked there, but it's not a complete success until the peacekeepers can go home IMHO.
    I personally don't believe a UN peace keeping (or as we saw in Bosnia peace making) force would quell the violence in the region. According to Lewis MacKenzie's article, the Israelis have always been distrustful of the UN and wouldn't provide the support required for such a force. On the arab side, considering that several of the member nations required to provide the soldiers and equipment on the ground are currently embroiled in conflicts of their own around the middle east, which would cause distrust and possible hostility towards those nations involved in UN contingent there.
    This contingent would be very resource intensive, last a long time, and in the information age possibly longer than some governments are willing to sustain. In order to really make it effective you would essentially create a no man's land style buffer along the border of the strip, and then consider counter-insurgency/anti-smuggling ops as well to further stabilize the region. Another question, what might happen if Israel is involved in another conflict with either an insurgency or another nation while the UN is involved in such operations there? That would once again raise tensions in Gaza as they would have to rely on the UN forces to protect them, no disrespect to those who served in Bosnia in the early 90's, but the UN doesn't have the best track record of protection.
    Peace-keeping was a wonderful idea and worked when both sides of the conflict wanted to stop fighting but neither side trusted the other, but in this case Israel claims they want security, Hamas and their supporters want the annihilation of the Jewish state. I would love to see peace restored, but I'm not sure if an international force would be the most effective means necessary.
   
 
From a demonstration in NYC:  Why illiteracy and anti-Semitism don't mix (or perhaps he's still upset with the outcome of OJ Simpson's murder trial)

http://blogs.tnr.com/tnr/blogs/the_spine/archive/2008/12/29/quot-death-to-all-juice-quot.aspx

 
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/jan/06/gaza-israel-death-un

Israeli shelling kills dozens at UN school in Gaza

• Reports of more than 40 killed in and around UN shelter
• 12 members of family killed in Gaza City air strike

The civilian death toll in Gaza increased dramatically today, with reports of more than 40 Palestinians killed after missiles exploded outside a UN school where hundreds of people were sheltering from the continuing Israeli offensive.

Two Israeli tank shells struck the school in Jabaliya refugee camp, spraying shrapnel on people inside and outside the building, according to news agency reports.

The medical director of the hospital in Jabaliya told the Guardian 41 bodies had been brought in so far and more could be on the way. Reuters journalists filmed bodies scattered on the ground amid pools of blood and torn shoes and clothes. A donkey lay on the ground in its own blood.

In addition to the dead, several dozen people were wounded, hospital officials said. The Israeli military said it was looking into the reports.

"I saw a lot of women and children wheeled in," Fares Ghanem, a hospital official told the Associated Press. "A lot of the wounded were missing limbs and a lot of the dead were in pieces."

Majed Hamdan, an AP photographer, who rushed to the scene shortly after the attacks, said many children were among the dead. "I saw women and men parents slapping their faces in grief, screaming, some of them collapsed to the floor. They knew their children were dead," he said.

"In the morgue, most of the killed appeared to be children. In the hospital, there wasn't enough space for the wounded."

Elsewehere, at least 12 members of an extended family, including seven young children, were killed in an air strike on their house in Gaza City. The bodies of the Daya family were pulled from the rubble of a house in Gaza city's Zeitoun district after it was hit by two Israeli missiles. The dead included seven children aged from one to 12 years, three women and two men. Nine other people were believed to be trapped in the rubble.

Hours earlier, three young men – all cousins – died when the Israelis bombed another UN school, the Asma primary school in Gaza City. They were among about 400 people who sought shelter there after fleeing their homes in Beit Lahiya in northern Gaza.

The UN, which said the school in Jabaliya was clearly marked, said it was "strongly protesting these killings to the Israeli authorities and is calling for an immediate and impartial investigation".

"Where it is found that international humanitarian law has been violated, those responsible must be held to account. Under international law, installations such as schools, health centres and UN facilities should be protected from attack. Well before the current fighting, the UN had given to the Israeli authorities the GPS co-ordinates of all its installations in Gaza, including Asma elementary school."


The killings take the total toll in Palestinian lives since the Israelis launched their assault on the Gaza Strip 11 days ago to above 600. Doctors at Gaza hospitals say that at least one-fifth of the victims are children and a large number of women are among the dead.

Israel continues to insist that the bulk of those killed are Hamas and Islamic Jihad fighters, although its claim to be going to extraordinary lengths to target only "terrorists" has been undermined by one of its own tanks firing on a building being used by Israeli troops, killing four.

The sharp spike in the number of civilian casualties came as Israeli troops and tanks moved into Gaza's second largest city, Khan Younis, for the first time today, supported by intensive artillery strikes as the military pledged to press on with its attack.

In a separate attack earlier in the day, three Palestinians were killed in an air strike on another school run by Unwra, the UN relief agency.

Nine Israelis, including three civilians hit by rocket fire, have been killed in the conflict. At least five rockets fired from Gaza landed in Israel today, including one that hit the town of Gadera, 17 miles from Tel Aviv, police said. A three-year-old girl was wounded.

The heaviest fighting has been in northern Gaza, with witnesses reporting wave after wave of bombing strikes across the north of the territory accompanied by gunfire from helicopters and artillery from land and sea. Thousands of Palestinians have been ordered to leave their homes or forced to flee the fighting.

In Shajaiyeh, east of Gaza City, Israeli troops seized control of three apartment blocks and set up gun positions on the rooftops. Residents were locked in their homes and soldiers confiscated their mobile phones, neighbours said.

Three of the four Israeli soldiers killed by friendly fire died when a tank mistakenly fired on a building where the soldiers had taken up positions. There was heavy artillery fire to cover the evacuation of 24 soldiers who were injured, including the commander of the Golani infantry brigade, one of Israel's key fighting forces.

Israel's defence minister, Ehud Barak, said his country's troops would continue their operation despite mounting Palestinian casualties and growing international calls for a ceasefire.

"Hamas has so far sustained a very heavy blow from us, but we have yet to achieve our objective, and therefore the operation continues," Barak said.

The Israeli foreign minister, Tzipi Livni, said the offensive was intended to change permanently the shape of Israel's conflict with Hamas. "When Israel is targeted, Israel is going to retaliate," she said. Israel has rejected calls for a ceasefire.

The military said it had bombed more smuggling tunnels across the border with Egypt, in the south, and hit more than 40 other sites across Gaza including buildings storing weapons and rocket launching areas.

In Gaza, Mahmoud Zahar, the most senior leader of Hamas in the strip and a hardliner in the movement, appeared on the party's al-Aqsa television station and gave a defiant speech threatening attacks not only in Gaza but elsewhere.

"The Zionists have legitimised the killing of their children by killing our children. They have legitimised the killing of their people all over the world by killing our people," Zahar said. He urged Hamas fighters to "crush your enemy".

Another Hamas figure, a recognised military spokesman called Abu Ubaida, said thousands of Hamas fighters were waiting in Gaza to take on the Israeli military, and that rocket attacks would increase. More than 40 were fired into southern Israel yesterday, including one that landed in an empty kindergarten, which, like all schools near the Gaza border, has been closed since the conflict began.. Israeli police said a total of 520 rockets had been fired in the past 11 days of fighting.

Israeli troops are now deployed in and around the major urban areas of Gaza, particularly to the north, in Beit Hanoun, Beit Lahiya and Jabaliya. Using leaflets, telephone calls and radio announcements, they have ordered residents in many areas to leave their homes, forcing at least 15,000 Palestinians to flee to safety elsewhere. At least 5,000 are staying in 11 different UN schools and shelters.

The UN said more than 1 million Gazans were still without electricity or water and that it was increasingly difficult for staff to distribute aid or reach the injured. It said more industrial diesel was needed to reopen the strip's sole power plant, which has been shut for a week. Ten transformers have been damaged in the fighting.

More wheat grain is needed for food handouts, and the UN said Karni, the main commercial crossing, should be reopened to allow it in. Four ambulances and three mobile clinics were destroyed when bombs hit the headquarters of the Union of Health Care Committees in Gaza City.

John Holmes, the UN emergency relief coordinator, said Gaza represented an "increasingly alarming" humanitarian crisis, and that the territory was running low on clean water, power, food, medicine and other supplies since Israel began its offensive. Israeli leaders claim there is no humanitarian crisis.
 
Could an international peacekeeping force work in Gaza (and maybe in the West Bank, too)?

Yes, but:

• To be broadly acceptable it probably must be under the ‘direction’ of the UNSC;

• To be acceptable to the Muslims it must, probably, have some Muslim contingents – from, say, Malaysia and Turkey – and no direct US participation;

• To be acceptable to the Israelis it must have a large, strong, dominant Western component based on, say, Australia, Canada, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, Germany, Italy, Japan, Korea, Netherland, New Zealand, Norway, Singapore, Sweden and the United Kingdom.

I think, also, that Russia and America need some sort of remote supervisory role (beyond their UNSC membership) in order to reassure both the Arabs and the Israelis but I’m not sure how that might work – possibly the mission’s political managers could be drawn from America, China and Russia.
 
I would suggest that, initially, command and the C2 system would have to come from the ABC countries (Australia, Britain and Canada) and intelligence would have to be fed from Israel and then filtered through the USA to the ABC organization and then into the UN Force HQ. Later, after a coherent ‘system’ is in place and working, command can rotate amongst troop contributing nations.

I would guess, based on my memories of the geography, that four brigades would be needed:

1. Gaza City – a motorized and dismounted force;

2. Central Area/Salaheddin Road/Netzarim – a motorized and (light) armoured force;

3. Rafah/Khan Yunis – a motorized and dismounted ; and

4. Mobile/Reserve – rapid reaction air mobile and (light) armoured forces .

Additionally, a fairly robust flotilla of fast naval vessels will be needed as will extensive air assets: aircraft, UAVs, etc.

Let’s say, just for the sake of argument, 10± battle groups (2 X Turkey, 1 X Malayasia, 1 X Germany, 1 X Italy, 1 X UK, 1 X Europe (Less Germany, Italy and UK), 1 X Australia/Canada/New Zealand, 1 X Japan, 1 X Korea) plus supporting troops; 10± X warships and an ‘allied’ air wing.

Could the UN cobble something like that together? Maybe.

Would it work? Well, as Bill Clinton might have said, it all depends on what you mean by ‘work?’

What’s the aim? If Lew MacKenzie is right – and I think he’s close – the sole aim of the force is to prevent attacks on Israel; nothing else. That will, of course, deprive Israel of any reason to attack Gaza. Making Gaza ‘work’ is a whole other issue.

How long? How does forever sound? Hamas et al are not going away and they will not change their aims and objectives so they will find other ways to attack Israel – probably by using longer range rockets fired from other Middle Eastern bases and/or by killing Jews in Australia, Europe and North America. For practical purposes I would say that two human generations (35 to 50 years) ought to do it – think Cyprus.

 
Bo said:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/jan/06/gaza-israel-death-un

Israeli shelling kills dozens at UN school in Gaza

• Reports of more than 40 killed in and around UN shelter
• 12 members of family killed in Gaza City air strike

The civilian death toll in Gaza increased dramatically today, with reports of more than 40 Palestinians killed after missiles exploded outside a UN school where hundreds of people were sheltering from the continuing Israeli offensive.

Two Israeli tank shells struck the school in Jabaliya refugee camp, spraying shrapnel on people inside and outside the building, according to news agency reports.

The medical director of the hospital in Jabaliya told the Guardian 41 bodies had been brought in so far and more could be on the way. Reuters journalists filmed bodies scattered on the ground amid pools of blood and torn shoes and clothes. A donkey lay on the ground in its own blood.

In addition to the dead, several dozen people were wounded, hospital officials said. The Israeli military said it was looking into the reports.

"I saw a lot of women and children wheeled in," Fares Ghanem, a hospital official told the Associated Press. "A lot of the wounded were missing limbs and a lot of the dead were in pieces."

Majed Hamdan, an AP photographer, who rushed to the scene shortly after the attacks, said many children were among the dead. "I saw women and men parents slapping their faces in grief, screaming, some of them collapsed to the floor. They knew their children were dead," he said.

"In the morgue, most of the killed appeared to be children. In the hospital, there wasn't enough space for the wounded."

Elsewehere, at least 12 members of an extended family, including seven young children, were killed in an air strike on their house in Gaza City. The bodies of the Daya family were pulled from the rubble of a house in Gaza city's Zeitoun district after it was hit by two Israeli missiles. The dead included seven children aged from one to 12 years, three women and two men. Nine other people were believed to be trapped in the rubble.

Hours earlier, three young men – all cousins – died when the Israelis bombed another UN school, the Asma primary school in Gaza City. They were among about 400 people who sought shelter there after fleeing their homes in Beit Lahiya in northern Gaza.

The UN, which said the school in Jabaliya was clearly marked, said it was "strongly protesting these killings to the Israeli authorities and is calling for an immediate and impartial investigation".

"Where it is found that international humanitarian law has been violated, those responsible must be held to account. Under international law, installations such as schools, health centres and UN facilities should be protected from attack. Well before the current fighting, the UN had given to the Israeli authorities the GPS co-ordinates of all its installations in Gaza, including Asma elementary school."


The killings take the total toll in Palestinian lives since the Israelis launched their assault on the Gaza Strip 11 days ago to above 600. Doctors at Gaza hospitals say that at least one-fifth of the victims are children and a large number of women are among the dead.

Israel continues to insist that the bulk of those killed are Hamas and Islamic Jihad fighters, although its claim to be going to extraordinary lengths to target only "terrorists" has been undermined by one of its own tanks firing on a building being used by Israeli troops, killing four.

The sharp spike in the number of civilian casualties came as Israeli troops and tanks moved into Gaza's second largest city, Khan Younis, for the first time today, supported by intensive artillery strikes as the military pledged to press on with its attack.

In a separate attack earlier in the day, three Palestinians were killed in an air strike on another school run by Unwra, the UN relief agency.

Nine Israelis, including three civilians hit by rocket fire, have been killed in the conflict. At least five rockets fired from Gaza landed in Israel today, including one that hit the town of Gadera, 17 miles from Tel Aviv, police said. A three-year-old girl was wounded.

The heaviest fighting has been in northern Gaza, with witnesses reporting wave after wave of bombing strikes across the north of the territory accompanied by gunfire from helicopters and artillery from land and sea. Thousands of Palestinians have been ordered to leave their homes or forced to flee the fighting.

In Shajaiyeh, east of Gaza City, Israeli troops seized control of three apartment blocks and set up gun positions on the rooftops. Residents were locked in their homes and soldiers confiscated their mobile phones, neighbours said.

Three of the four Israeli soldiers killed by friendly fire died when a tank mistakenly fired on a building where the soldiers had taken up positions. There was heavy artillery fire to cover the evacuation of 24 soldiers who were injured, including the commander of the Golani infantry brigade, one of Israel's key fighting forces.

Israel's defence minister, Ehud Barak, said his country's troops would continue their operation despite mounting Palestinian casualties and growing international calls for a ceasefire.

"Hamas has so far sustained a very heavy blow from us, but we have yet to achieve our objective, and therefore the operation continues," Barak said.

The Israeli foreign minister, Tzipi Livni, said the offensive was intended to change permanently the shape of Israel's conflict with Hamas. "When Israel is targeted, Israel is going to retaliate," she said. Israel has rejected calls for a ceasefire.

The military said it had bombed more smuggling tunnels across the border with Egypt, in the south, and hit more than 40 other sites across Gaza including buildings storing weapons and rocket launching areas.

In Gaza, Mahmoud Zahar, the most senior leader of Hamas in the strip and a hardliner in the movement, appeared on the party's al-Aqsa television station and gave a defiant speech threatening attacks not only in Gaza but elsewhere.

"The Zionists have legitimised the killing of their children by killing our children. They have legitimised the killing of their people all over the world by killing our people," Zahar said. He urged Hamas fighters to "crush your enemy".

Another Hamas figure, a recognised military spokesman called Abu Ubaida, said thousands of Hamas fighters were waiting in Gaza to take on the Israeli military, and that rocket attacks would increase. More than 40 were fired into southern Israel yesterday, including one that landed in an empty kindergarten, which, like all schools near the Gaza border, has been closed since the conflict began.. Israeli police said a total of 520 rockets had been fired in the past 11 days of fighting.

Israeli troops are now deployed in and around the major urban areas of Gaza, particularly to the north, in Beit Hanoun, Beit Lahiya and Jabaliya. Using leaflets, telephone calls and radio announcements, they have ordered residents in many areas to leave their homes, forcing at least 15,000 Palestinians to flee to safety elsewhere. At least 5,000 are staying in 11 different UN schools and shelters.

The UN said more than 1 million Gazans were still without electricity or water and that it was increasingly difficult for staff to distribute aid or reach the injured. It said more industrial diesel was needed to reopen the strip's sole power plant, which has been shut for a week. Ten transformers have been damaged in the fighting.

More wheat grain is needed for food handouts, and the UN said Karni, the main commercial crossing, should be reopened to allow it in. Four ambulances and three mobile clinics were destroyed when bombs hit the headquarters of the Union of Health Care Committees in Gaza City.

John Holmes, the UN emergency relief coordinator, said Gaza represented an "increasingly alarming" humanitarian crisis, and that the territory was running low on clean water, power, food, medicine and other supplies since Israel began its offensive. Israeli leaders claim there is no humanitarian crisis.

Bo,

I received an e-mail from the IDF press office this morning regarding this incident. Please edit accordingly:

"The IDF was responding to rocket/Katyusha/mortar/mg fire emanating from or near the house/refugee camp/school/mosque/UNIFIL base. The IDF works to minimize casualties amongst the Lebanese/Palestinian/Syrian civilian population. The blame for this latest missile/rocket/mortar/arty attack lies entirely with (the) Hamas/PFLP/al-Aqsa brigade/Hizballah/Lebanese Army who attack us and hide amongst their families. Sources familiar with this incident say that the house/refugee camp/school/mosque/UNIFIL base was being used to store weapons by (the) Hamas/PFLP/al-Aqsa brigade/Hizballah/Lebanese Army and the explosion could have been related to the storage of these weapons. The IDF is launching an investigation into this matter."

Bo, I'll let you know when I hear more about the IDF investigation.

Regards.
 
tourza said:
Bo,

I received an e-mail from the IDF press office this morning regarding this incident. Please edit accordingly:

"The IDF was responding to rocket/Katyusha/mortar/mg fire emanating from or near the house/refugee camp/school/mosque/UNIFIL base. The IDF works to minimize casualties amongst the Lebanese/Palestinian/Syrian civilian population. The blame for this latest missile/rocket/mortar/arty attack lies entirely with (the) Hamas/PFLP/al-Aqsa brigade/Hizballah/Lebanese Army who attack us and hide amongst their families. Sources familiar with this incident say that the house/refugee camp/school/mosque/UNIFIL base was being used to store weapons by (the) Hamas/PFLP/al-Aqsa brigade/Hizballah/Lebanese Army and the explosion could have been related to the storage of these weapons. The IDF is launching an investigation into this matter."

Bo, I'll let you know when I hear more about the IDF investigation.

Regards.

Is that the verbatim e-mail or did you "edit accordingly"?   Obviously the latter given the italics.  Furthermore you do not reference a link to the source.  A pathetic, hamfisted, try at propaganda and disinformation.   I'll give it a "B" Grade for credibility where B = Bad.
 
tourza said:
Bo,

I received an e-mail from the IDF press office this morning regarding this incident. Please edit accordingly:

"The IDF was responding to rocket/Katyusha/mortar/mg fire emanating from or near the house/refugee camp/school/mosque/UNIFIL base. The IDF works to minimize casualties amongst the Lebanese/Palestinian/Syrian civilian population. The blame for this latest missile/rocket/mortar/arty attack lies entirely with (the) Hamas/PFLP/al-Aqsa brigade/Hizballah/Lebanese Army who attack us and hide amongst their families. Sources familiar with this incident say that the house/refugee camp/school/mosque/UNIFIL base was being used to store weapons by (the) Hamas/PFLP/al-Aqsa brigade/Hizballah/Lebanese Army and the explosion could have been related to the storage of these weapons. The IDF is launching an investigation into this matter."

Bo, I'll let you know when I hear more about the IDF investigation.

Regards.

Is this a generic statement where one circles the appropriate word to describe a generic situation?  Sort of like saying "that they did/did not publically/privately state for the record/off the record that they had made/did not make this statement".
 
Shec said:
Is that the verbatim e-mail or did you "edit accordingly"?   Obviously the latter given the italics.  Furthermore you do not reference a link to the source.  A pathetic, hamfisted, try at propaganda and disinformation.   I'll give it a "B" Grade for credibility where B = Bad.

Shec, a grade of 'B' is way too generous. I would have given it a grade of 'E' for sarcasm, where E = Excellent.

Mr. Wallace, please refer to above. But I suspect the official IDF line won't be too different from my previous post...

Regards.
 
Both the Jerusalem Post and Haaretz beat me to the storyline...

http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1231167272256&pagename=JPost%2FJPArticle%2FShowFull

http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1053138.html

Regards.
 
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_171PImuOl4&eurl=http://www.zmag.org/zvideo/2961


Yes he is being interviewed from Tehran, but he makes some interesting points. I await your flames.
 
Proving yet again that the gallant Hamas fightling man hides behind  a child rather than standing in front of them.

The fact that Norman Finklestein willing allows himself to be a dupe of Iranian propaganda necessitates no further comment.

 
tourza

Obviously I am missing something here.  To me these types of statements are not CLEAR and quite open to generalizations:

rocket/Katyusha/mortar/mg fire emanating from or near the house/refugee camp/school/mosque/UNIFIL base. The IDF works to minimize casualties amongst the Lebanese/Palestinian/Syrian civilian population. The blame for this latest missile/rocket/mortar/arty attack lies entirely with (the) Hamas/PFLP/al-Aqsa brigade/Hizballah/Lebanese Army who attack us and hide amongst their families. Sources familiar with this incident say that the house/refugee camp/school/mosque/UNIFIL base was being used to store weapons by (the) Hamas/PFLP/al-Aqsa brigade/Hizballah/Lebanese Army and the explosion could have been related to the storage of these weapons.


How exactly am I to interpret those?  Is it all or one of my own choosing, or what?  Those are not very clear statements to one event.  Is it suppose to cover several events, and economize on typing?





[Edit to add:  I have been having some serious computer problems today, so that may have contributed to my missing something.]
 
Are people in the area completely incapable of realizing when tensions increase and they should remove themselves from the danger zone?

Why is it suddenly the Canadian Governments fault because they did nothing for themselves?

 
Is it 39 "oh my God, we're in trouble, but hey, we do have canadian citizenship!  Let's call Canada"

Or 39 Canadian?
 
I'm sure 39 people think the government is a laggard; I'm not sure I agree. I'm not persuaded that we, Canada as a country, have to rush to rescue people who put themselves in danger.

All Canadians are entitled to some help - whatever can be managed - but immediate rescue from dangerous places is not guaranteed.
 
E.R. Campbell said:
I'm not a big fan of UN, baby-blue beret type peacekeeping missions anywhere but the UN may be the only source of a trusted mandate – anything but a UN mandated, indeed UN flagged  force might be unacceptable to the key players in Gaza.

I'm with you in disliking UN peacekeeping missions. I did three tours in Cyprus and I saw how the UN screwed things up royally. The military force did its job, but otherwise it was a waste of rations.

As for Mackenzie's article I'm surprised by it. If you've read any of his other news articles he has been extremely critical of the UN, especially his time in Sarajevo,. So I'm kind of surprised that he would propose a UN force for Gaza. And even though I'm a big fan of Mackenzie I disagree with his proposal. First off, the chances of putting an effective force together would be pretty difficult, if not impossible. Heck, even finding countries willing to provide military forces would be difficult. Even if they did get it on-the-ground do you think Hamas would co-operate with the force? I don't think so!

In my mind a more realistic scenario is this one proposed by Daniel Pipes in today's National Post. (As always, reproduced under Section 29 of the Fair Dealing provisions of the Copyright Act).

http://network.nationalpost.com/np/blogs/fullcomment/archive/2009/01/06/daniel-pipes-the-back-to-the-future-option-for-gaza.aspx

Daniel Pipes: The 'back-to-the-future' option for Gaza

Israel’s war against Hamas brings up the old quandary: What to do about the Palestinians? Western states, including Israel, need to set goals to figure out their policy toward the West Bank and Gaza.
Let’s first review what we know does not and cannot work:

•  Israeli control.  Neither side wishes to continue the situation that began in 1967, when the Israel Defense Forces took control of a population that is religiously, culturally, economically and politically different and hostile.

•  A Palestinian state.  The 1993 Oslo Accords began this process, but a toxic brew of anarchy, ideological extremism, anti-Semitism, jihadism and warlordism led to complete Palestinian failure.

•  A binational state.  Given the two populations’ mutual antipathy, the prospect of a combined Israel-Palestine (what Muammar al-Qaddafi calls “Israstine”) is as absurd as it seems.

Excluding these three prospects leaves only one practical approach, that which worked tolerably well in the period 1948-67: Shared Jordanian-Egyptian rule, whereby Amman rules the West Bank and Cairo runs Gaza.

To be sure, this back-to-the-future approach inspires little enthusiasm. Not only was Jordanian-Egyptian rule undistinguished, but resurrecting this arrangement will frustrate Palestinian impulses, be they nationalist or Islamist. Further, Cairo never wanted Gaza and has vehemently rejected returning there. Accordingly, one academic analyst dismisses this idea as “an elusive fantasy that can only obscure real and difficult choices.”

It is not. The failures of Yasser Arafat and Mahmoud Abbas, of the Palestinian Authority (PA) and the “peace process,” have prompted rethinking in Amman and Jerusalem. Indeed, The Christian Science Monitor’s Ilene R. Prusher found, already in 2007, that the idea of a West Bank-Jordan confederation “seems to be gaining traction on both sides of the Jordan River.”

The Jordanian government, which enthusiastically annexed the West Bank in 1950 and abandoned its claims only under duress in 1988, shows signs of wanting to return. Dan Diker and Pinchas Inbari documented for the Middle East Quarterly in 2006 how the PA’s “failure to assert control and become a politically viable entity has caused Amman to reconsider whether a hands-off strategy toward the West Bank is in its best interests.” Israeli officialdom has also showed itself open to this idea, occasionally calling for Jordanian troops to enter the West Bank.

Despairing of self-rule, some Palestinians welcome the Jordanian option. An unnamed senior PA official told Diker and Inbari that a form of federation or confederation with Jordan offers “the only reasonable, stable, long-term solution to the Palestinian-Israeli conflict.” Hanna Siniora opined, “The current weakened prospects for a two-state solution forces us to revisit the possibility of a confederation with Jordan.” The New York Times’s Hassan M. Fattah quotes a Palestinian in Jordan: “Everything has been ruined for us — we’ve been fighting for 60 years and nothing is left. It would be better if Jordan ran things in Palestine, if King Abdullah could take control of the West Bank.”

Nor is this just talk: Diker and Inbari report that back-channel PA-Jordan negotiations in 2003-04 “resulted in an agreement in principle to send 30,000 Badr Force members” to the West Bank.

And while Egypt’s President Hosni Mubarak announced a year ago that “Gaza is not part of Egypt, nor will it ever be,” his is hardly the last word. First, Mubarak notwithstanding, Egyptians overwhelmingly want a strong tie to Gaza; Hamas concurs and Israeli leaders sometimes agree. So the basis for an overhaul in policy exists.

Secondly, Gaza is arguably more a part of Egypt than of “Palestine.” During most of the Islamic period, it was either controlled by Cairo or part of Egypt administratively. Gazan colloquial Arabic is identical to what Egyptians living in Sinai speak. Economically, Gaza has the most connections to Egypt. Hamas itself derives from the Muslim Brethren, an Egyptian organization. Is it time to think of Gazans as Egyptians?

Thirdly, Jerusalem could out-manoeuvre Mubarak. Were it to announce a date when it ends the provisioning of all water, electricity, food, medicine and other trade, plus accept enhanced Egyptian security in Gaza, Cairo would have to take responsibility for Gaza. Among other advantages, this would make it accountable for Gazan security, finally putting an end to the thousands of Hamas rocket and mortar assaults.

The Jordan-Egypt option quickens no pulse, but that may be its value. It offers a uniquely sober way to solve the “Palestinian problem.”

© 2008 by Daniel Pipes

Daniel Pipes is director of the Middle East Forum and Taube distinguished visiting fellow at the Hoover Institution of Stanford University.



 
tamtam10 said:
You'd think Canada would learn from the mistakes it made in trying to help Canadians out of Lebanon during the 2006 Lebanon war. Unfortunately they didn't. Canada again acted too late in helping Canadians out of Gaza while other countries were able to get their nationals out. Now 39 Canadians are trapped in Gaza:

http://informedvote.ca/2009/01/canada-lags-in-helping-citizens-out-of-gaza/



well since the Govt. of Canada has been telling passport holders to leave Gaza for over two years now I don't think its any of our business.....
 
Canadians by convenience.

Want want want, and take take take and never give back anything except rude ignorant criticism of their adopted country.

OWDU
 
Michael O`Leary said:
Are people in the area completely incapable of realizing when tensions increase and they should remove themselves from the danger zone?

Why is it suddenly the Canadian Governments fault because they did nothing for themselves?

Couldn't have said it better myself. As for those who criticized Canada for being slow in getting its citizens out of Lebanon (and now Gaza) here are a couple facts:

- First, Canada is a long ways away from Lebanon. Not so for many European countries. A look at a world atlas would be helpful;
- Second, European countries have naval forces in the Med that were quickly moved into the conflict area to help evacuate its citizens. Even countries that do not border the Mediterranean (e.g. Britain, the U.S.) maintain a naval presence in the region. Canada, on the other hand, has no standing naval presence in the Med; and
- Finally, many Mediterranean European countries (e.g. France) have state-owned shipping lines that were quickly commandeered into service. All they had to do was kick the tourists off the boats and sail them to Lebanon. Canada has no state-owned shipping lines Period!


 
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