If we keep this I up I'm afraid Parker Bros is going to start claiming copyright infringement. ;D
WRT the good Col.'s movements - it sounds like we need more bodies with better reporting skills in the gym, the courthouse and at Timmy's. They might even be able to overhear a conversation of two. Much better by far if the Col. doesn't know they're in attendance I would have thought. Passive sensors might be appropriate if you can plant the mike and a camera and disappear unobtrusively. And if a UAV is available, why waste it picqueting? Once the Col. is detected/suspected why not try and track him from 10,000 feet?
The question to be asked though is what is our intention. To protect the house from all comers or to eliminate Col. Mustard from contention?
Moving on to the vehicle - What was that about shine, shape, shadow, silhouette, movement? I thought movement made it more likely that you would be detected and possibly surprised. While I agree that could be a very bad thing (leading to the infamous "Contact, wait....." followed by the hiss of static) by attacking you the Col. has confirmed presence and intention. Higher is duly informed and acts accordingly.
Do you see more on the move or when static? Are you more of a target on the move or static? When you are leading a formation in an advance to contact you are forced to move and keep moving. How does that compare with conducting patrols and OPs in a fixed AO with "permanent" bases? When you are conducting these operations should you opt for a beat up Toyota Corolla so as to blend into the scenery on the highways and in the cities or adopt a vehicle that attracts attention and needs armouring? If working outside populated areas what type of vehicle best supplies mobility and avoids attention? Armouring can be done unobtrusively so that even if a vehicle stands out from the background it can at least pass itself off as any other vehicle? If you stick a RWS or Turret with a gun on it doesn't that immediately make the vehicle more noticeable and more identifiable?
IMHO the vehicles necessary to lead a formation advance to contact are not the same vehicles necessary to recce and survey a fixed AO in a peace support operation. Bradley's and Abrams may indeed be the right solution for the former. Are they the right solution for the latter? I tend to agree with you on the Eagle IV / Duro vehicles as being compatible with low/med intensity conflicts - but that is what you are involved in currently.
If we accept that recce, like ISTAR is a process, then it is platform independent. The basic skills of the recce patrolman or trooper seem likely to be the same whether he/she is riding a Lynx, M151, Motorcycle, Bicycle, Black Caddy's or some armoured creation currently available or otherwise. If that is the case then it seems reasonable that a variety of vehicles could be purchased that would get the job done.
Lessee. A LAV III costs about 4 MUSD. An RG-31 costs about 1 MUSD. An FMTV or LSVW costs about 100 KUSD. Assuming a limited budget of 12 MUSD then that could offer the prospect of splitting it 1/3 - 1/3 - 1/3 in which case the force could supply itself with 1 LAV III for 4 MUSD, 4 RG-31 for the second 4 MUSD and 40 LSVW vehicles for the third 4 MUSD. That leaves a fleet of 45 vehicles for 45 crews all of which are learning skills that can be moved up to the other vehicles or can be broadly applied in a variety of theatres depending on the intensity of the threat.
Play with combinations and permutations to heart's content.
The single vehicle concept is likely to yield only 3 LAV IIIs, inadequate to operate effectively in any environment and with no platforms available for other troops to operate and learn on, not to mention no replacements for vehicles or personnel.
WRT your final comment on the Recce/Cav "There needs to be a middle ground, which gives us the ability to move and act with the proper speed, without carrying out the fight ourselves."
This sounds reasonable to me. My son gets entirely fed up with three words that dominate our discussions "eventually, compromise and balance". #4 is Moderation.
2B,
The critical parts of your comments for me were:
I guess my point is that the US Cavalry had a Reconnaissance task as well as a robust security task.
You are accepting some risk to get in relatively close and thereby gain sufficient information on the enemy to prevent suprises for you own side.
I would argue that stealth alone or achieving stand-off will not get the job done. Our recce forces need some protection to get close enough.
By accepting a "robust" security task aren't you encouraging moving away from the primary focus of gathering information for the commander and the rest of the force?
Isn't there a degree of contradiction there? You want to get as close as possible to gain information. Fair Enuff. But don't you want to do that without being detected? Once you are detectected two bad things happen: one to you (your immediate concern) but the other is that once the enemy detects you you have supplied him with information and is likely to change his plan - not necessarily to the benefit of your formation commander's plan.
I can understand the desire to be protected if detected but not if the protection itself makes you more detectable.
Sitting back comfortably in my armchair
DG - funny you mentioned Stuart. I was just thinking of him myself in terms of drawing off the screen and getting bogged down. I was also thinking of Rupert's cavalry in the English Civil War being drawn off and unavailable in their heavy "shock" role.