Trump administration 2024-2028
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Halifax Tar
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We can agree on this.
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Or want to jump for an even-more-Chinese-owned one instead.
foresterab
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Well lets see...I have clients who also operate in BC. Wood prices are generally 25-50% cheaper in Alberta than BC. And the prices I'm hearing in the SE states are 10% of that. Why? a few big things:A good example of bad economic policies driving business out of Canada, which will make us even more vulnerable to any tariff action by the US.
This review is likely too little, too late, and focused on the wrong issues e.g., the high cost of doing business in a socialist and actively anti-private sector culture
Province launches review of BC Timber Sales
New forests minister Ravi Parmar puts together panel of forest experts to conduct review
Province launches review of BC Timber Sales
1) BC sets stumpage rates based upon the average of the previous years prices. But it's not very adaptive to seasonal pricing changes and the last few years have been up/down/up/down. If you're paying high stumpage when prices are low...it's bad business. Alberta adjusts monthly in comparison but other jurisdictions (New Brunswick) are fixed regardless.
2) Big supper mills that produce lots of product very effectively with minimal manpower inside the mill are also very dependent upon a single product. Hence the emphasis upon value added industries but unfortunately you also need the trucking fleets/contractor forces to move/provide alternate products to different mills in some cases for value added that have also been decimated by super mills only hiring a single set up.
3) past history of logging hasn't always spread out harvesting well spatially or by species. Guys used to joke the mill was losing money so we'll log some Douglas fir to prop it up...which works until that supply works out. It's the same challenges with low slope/flat ground vs. 80% mountain sides and no roads...huge cost differences that make it tough to operate unless you have cheap wood to offset the pricy stuff.
4) Huge volume losses of forest in recent years due to fires gutted several mills possible wood supply. Still pretty amazed how much of NE burnt the last few years despite being on fires in the same area.
5) Political uncertainty hasn't helped...not just the old growth targets but that has been the latest issue. However political uncertainty has been a feature of the forest industry for it's history and I view it more of the Rural/Urban split on perceptions.
6) Infrastructure costs and hauling costs to get products to market are high for much of BC (and AB, SK, MB, Northern ON) with a huge reliance on rail traffic. The same infrastructure that was built in the 1960's is now fighting to get spur line traffic fed into ever more active mainlines/busier ports.
7) employment numbers per m3 of wood harvested and especially for board foot (bdft) of lumber produced have been dropping for decades. When you hear of mills dropping a shift of staff and doubling production due to mechanization/modernization it's scary. 10 axle B-train trailers hauling 20% more a load compared to old 8 axle trucks adds up in a hurry. Feller Bunchers vs. chainsaw operators. But reduced employment also means reduced political power = easier to focus on what Vancouver/Victoria wants. For those in Ontario it's the Toronto vs. Ontario debate on what's top priority.
daftandbarmy
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Access to fibre appears to be a key economic issue too, and the province is always undercutting its AAC. If all your marketable timber is tied up in consultation backlogs and 'Old Growth' protected areas etc etc your forest businesses are going to go elsewhere. This also impacts BC Timber Sales, which sets the market rates for Timber based on 'Selling the Sales'....
“Access to economic fibre has fallen from 60 million cubic metres in 2018 to 35 million cubic metres of actual fibre in 2023, about 42 per cent below the allowable annual cut for the year,” Linda Coady reminded the government in May 2024. Coady is president and CEO of the B.C. Council of Forest Industries (COFI). “Each time a mill closes in B.C., there’s a substantial direct impact on employees and their families, with further consequences for local communities as well as across supply chains.”
B.C. government’s head-in-the-sand approach to forestry issues - Forestnet
Frustrations are growing monthly with the British Columbia government’s continuing lack of action on the provincial forestry file. The issues are numerous, growing and urgent. The focus for several of them surround basic subjects like wood fibre availability, the high costs of operating and...
forestnet.com
foresterab
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Access to fibre appears to be a key economic issue too, and the province is always undercutting its AAC. If all your marketable timber is tied up in consultation backlogs and 'Old Growth' protected areas etc etc your forest businesses are going to go elsewhere. This also impacts BC Timber Sales, which sets the market rates for Timber based on 'Selling the Sales'....
“Access to economic fibre has fallen from 60 million cubic metres in 2018 to 35 million cubic metres of actual fibre in 2023, about 42 per cent below the allowable annual cut for the year,” Linda Coady reminded the government in May 2024. Coady is president and CEO of the B.C. Council of Forest Industries (COFI). “Each time a mill closes in B.C., there’s a substantial direct impact on employees and their families, with further consequences for local communities as well as across supply chains.”
B.C. government’s head-in-the-sand approach to forestry issues - Forestnet
Frustrations are growing monthly with the British Columbia government’s continuing lack of action on the provincial forestry file. The issues are numerous, growing and urgent. The focus for several of them surround basic subjects like wood fibre availability, the high costs of operating and...forestnet.com
NEW FOREST POLICY: THE PREDICTABLE DECLINE OF THE FOREST INDUSTRY | Business Examiner
By Jim Girvan From Fall 2024 Truck Loggers Association Magazine BRITISH COLUMBIA - Forestry, by its nature, is a slow moving, long-term game. Timber supply models used to set the allocated an-nual cut (AAC) are based on a 200-year planning cycle. Today's harvest planning and cutting permit...
businessexaminer.ca
But short summery according this article:
AAC in BC was ~52 million pre mountain Pine Beetle prior to 2000
AAC in BC was up to 86 million post mountain Pine Beetle surge cuts in 2011. Unfortunately poor market conditions also meant a lot of smaller capacity/specialty mills closed (not just in BC but around Canada and US) which in turn resulted in more market consolidation and "super mills".
26 sawmills closed by 2011 due to market conditions.
AAC in 2019 increased (better market conditions) from 65 million -> 76 million meters harvested but an additional 17 sawmills had closed since 2011. In 20 years this represents ~ 52, 000 people employed or 28% of the labour force.
By 2023 an additional 10 mills closed (and more reduced operations) and ACC was down to 46 million. Additional mills were closed in 2024.
Forecasted AAC in 2035 is 37.7 million meters for the province (Alberta is approximately 32 million for comparison)
Much of this was known for 10-15 years due to the MPB modelling and pine forest dying off and companies, knowing the wood was not there for long term operations have been buying mills in the US/Europe/other provinces and not re-investing in BC. You can't lose 60% of the forest and expect to operate at 100%.
GR66
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President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration will be moved indoors, he announced Friday, due to dangerously cold temperatures projected in the nation’s capital.
Hell literally freezing over?
Hell literally freezing over?
QV
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Probably intel on planned pot shots at 47.President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration will be moved indoors, he announced Friday, due to dangerously cold temperatures projected in the nation’s capital.
Hell literally freezing over?
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Xiaohongshu (RedNote) quite literally translates to “Little Red Book” (as in Mao Zedong’s quotations)... and what's happening here in Canada
Ahead of U.S. TikTok ban, Canadians flock to Chinese 'RedNote' app
OTTAWA - With TikTok facing an imminent ban in the United States, many Canadian users are moving to rival Chinese social media app Xiaohongshu — also known as RedNote —www.thecanadianpressnews.ca
Supreme Court decision attached.
laughs ironically
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Walz trolling commences.
And some supporters are less than pleased at the change in venue.
www.nbcwashington.com
And some supporters are less than pleased at the change in venue.
‘Sucks': Trump supporters visiting DC for inauguration miffed over cold-weather changes
Some supporters of President-elect Donald Trump who traveled to Washington, D.C., to see him take the oath of office on Inauguration Day feel like they’re getting the cold shoulder after Friday’s announcement that festivities will move indoors because of Arctic temperatures.
www.nbcwashington.com
Yeah of course the retired Sgt Maj says “there’s no such thing as bad weather”. Yeah there is. Shut up nerd.Walz trolling commences.
View attachment 90562
And some supporters are less than pleased at the change in venue.
‘Sucks': Trump supporters visiting DC for inauguration miffed over cold-weather changes
Some supporters of President-elect Donald Trump who traveled to Washington, D.C., to see him take the oath of office on Inauguration Day feel like they’re getting the cold shoulder after Friday’s announcement that festivities will move indoors because of Arctic temperatures.
lenaitch
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So in DC/Virginia terms, that' what, 50*F?President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration will be moved indoors, he announced Friday, due to dangerously cold temperatures projected in the nation’s capital.
Hell literally freezing over?
So, does he fly to Washington on Trump Air then back home on
Every President has a USSS call-sign (the only one I know was Reagan, who was 'Rawhide'). I wonder what DJT's will be. I can think of several but don't have to worry about my career.
The Chinese call him The Dragon King.
Colin Parkinson
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Thing is the Bands want access to the revenue stream, however some bands don't understand that the money varies year to year and want a predicable large chunk. They also want a larger share of the fewer jobs, but often don't have the capacity to take them on.Access to fibre appears to be a key economic issue too, and the province is always undercutting its AAC. If all your marketable timber is tied up in consultation backlogs and 'Old Growth' protected areas etc etc your forest businesses are going to go elsewhere. This also impacts BC Timber Sales, which sets the market rates for Timber based on 'Selling the Sales'....
“Access to economic fibre has fallen from 60 million cubic metres in 2018 to 35 million cubic metres of actual fibre in 2023, about 42 per cent below the allowable annual cut for the year,” Linda Coady reminded the government in May 2024. Coady is president and CEO of the B.C. Council of Forest Industries (COFI). “Each time a mill closes in B.C., there’s a substantial direct impact on employees and their families, with further consequences for local communities as well as across supply chains.”
B.C. government’s head-in-the-sand approach to forestry issues - Forestnet
Frustrations are growing monthly with the British Columbia government’s continuing lack of action on the provincial forestry file. The issues are numerous, growing and urgent. The focus for several of them surround basic subjects like wood fibre availability, the high costs of operating and...forestnet.com
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It'll be brisk, but to many Canadians (and Americans in the northern states, for that matter), it'll only be "brisk for that part of the world", like when I'm in Italy saying 15C is decent shorts weather while they're in lighter winter clothing
Last time it was held indoors (Reagan, 1985), it looks like it was a fair bit cooler.
Those would be -13C, -23C and -29C, respectively.
In other news, the official portraits are out.
Official Portraits Released — And They Go Hard ???? | Donald J. Trump For President 2024
Certified Website of Donald J. Trump For President 2024. America's comeback starts right now. Join our movement to Make America Great Again!
www.donaldjtrump.com
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quadrapiper
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That is certainly an interesting series of composition and photographic choices.