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CAN-USA 2025 Tariff Strife (split from various pol threads)

Well fuck that and fuck him. Hit back in ways that cause the most harm to American business for the least harm to Canadian consumers, and let constituencies he’s politically dependent on feel pain from it. Let his pet congressmen and senators hear from constituents who lost their job and no longer have healthcare or prescription coverage for their sick wife or kid. Let them hear from the guy living paycheck to paycheck whose car just broke and now it’s gonna cost him a lot more for replacement parts so he can drive to work and feed his family. Let them hear from people who’be scraped to pay for a house but now the cost for a new build has gone up. Let him hear from assemblers, distillers, and manufacturers who have to cancel shifts or close planes because their export customers are drying up. Some of this he’s going to do to them himself, and some of it we can give a good hard nudge to with proportionate and reasonable trade measures. Show them that it won’t work so that the pressure from within forces a policy change. Remember that we’re less than two years from the midterms.
I’d actually be content to pay some more taxes to support a deficit that compensated BC, Alberta, Saskatchewan, Ontario and Quebec businesses and enact a 30-day shutdown of ALL energy to the US….oil, gas, electricity…so how fragile the U.S. really is. They simply couldn’t pivot their west Texas intermediate up into idled northern and mid-west refineries fast enough…and eastern seaboard US cities would have rolling blackouts…
 
"Canada has to do better at its border to stop illegal immigrants and fentanyl from coming into the US". The border services responsible for stopping immigrants and products from coming over a border are the services of the country the immigrants or product tries to enter - not the one they are coming from. It is the US border services job to stop immigrants and fentanyl from entering the US. This simple fact is plainly evident to anyone who has ever crossed a land border by car: there is no border check point of the country you are leaving to stop you from going over the border, only a check point from the country you are about to enter.
True, to a point. Export checks are a thing. If we know a particular commodity is regulated we can impose export controls on it under the Export and Import Permits Act. But that only works if it's being legally exported. Otherwise, it's smuggling.

People are different. It's up to the USCBP to determine if a person is admissible to the US or not, not Canada. CBSA does not have a list of who POTUS47 has named as "undesirable" or "unwelcome" by name or nationality.
 
For the record, the "List of products from the United States subject to 25 per cent tariffs effective February 4, 2025"
Also archived here and attached (229 pages).
I’d actually be content to pay some more taxes to support a deficit that compensated BC, Alberta, Saskatchewan, Ontario and Quebec businesses and enact a 30-day shutdown of ALL energy to the US….oil, gas, electricity…so how fragile the U.S. really is. They simply couldn’t pivot their west Texas intermediate up into idled northern and mid-west refineries fast enough…and eastern seaboard US cities would have rolling blackouts…
That would be spicy, but would need all premiers on board and a federal centre tough enough to 1) herd said premiers, and 2) grit their teeth and do it.
 

Attachments

I’d actually be content to pay some more taxes to support a deficit that compensated BC, Alberta, Saskatchewan, Ontario and Quebec businesses and enact a 30-day shutdown of ALL energy to the US….oil, gas, electricity…so how fragile the U.S. really is. They simply couldn’t pivot their west Texas intermediate up into idled northern and mid-west refineries fast enough…and eastern seaboard US cities would have rolling blackouts…
My concern with this is that would be an exceptionally grave provocation that would credibly threaten their national interests in a way that they wouldn’t hear us out on. It’s fun to think of shutting down all energy exports and cutting off electricity on Super Bowl Sunday, or making gas more expensive for nascar races and such.

But It wouldn’t play like that. Republicans would phrase it as a ‘blockade’, would emphasize losing critical and safety-sensitive services. We don’t want them to see that as a national security vulnerability and to respond accordingly. We don’t want to put wind in the sails of actually using force. It would also have a massive cost to Canadians and would exacerbate existing divides we have. Albertans don’t want a government cheque, they want a paycheque that says ‘Cenovus’ on it. And that’s totally reasonable.

I’m all for hurting them back, but in ways that don’t provide a single evening news focal point where they can play the victim of a disproportionate ‘attack’. Add cost, pressure and friction to their economy in ways and places that will hurt Trump’s image and will hurt him politically. Coordinate with allied trading blocs on this. Amplify to Americans the cost of the “Trump tax”. Take his rhetoric about cost of living and force it back down his throat.

As I think back to every bullshit neighbour dispute file I’ve attended, at the end of all this once it simmers down we’re still gonna be neighbours. We still want the door open to barrier free interconnected trade. That’s still best for Canadians and for Americans. Start by closing the doors we can most easily reopen.
 
Annexation as a result isn’t a serious concern because Canadians will utterly reject it. But, Trump’s explicit and repeatedly expressed desire for annexation is a serious concern becuse it tells us why he‘a actually doing this, and why playing the role of Neville Chamberlain with an orange stain on his chin isn’t going to make this go away. There are already a modest number of shameless Canadians lining up to do that.

Trump is a belligerent bully who sees something through the shop window that he wants but can’t have. He’s used to being able to bully and buy what he wants. He wants but cannot buy or have Canada, but he will not take that gracefully. We’re already seeing the tantrum.

This is not in isolation! Thisnis happening as he levies tariffs at the world. It’s happening as he shifts towards mercantilism and isolationism. It’s happening as he is purging not only the senior ranks but the government executive across all levels to cement his power. It’s happening as a group of hard right manifestations destiny types asrmble around him, and they will live and wield influence much longer than he will.

He wants a more isolationist America that he has more personal control over. He looks at a map and sees a big island called “North America”, 60% of which isn’t the same name or colour as his chunk. He’s eyeballing that map with all the subtelty of a kid on his computer playing Civilization.

This is not a nice neat acedemic economics problem pulled off a shelf in an ivory tower and placed in some frictionless vacuum. This is Canada facing four years of a very belligerent president to the south, and we have to stand up for ourselves. We need to set an example for other counties to do the same because we REALLY need other friendly nations and trading blocs to have our backs on this.

Trump thinks he can economically coerce us to join his country. He thinks he can do that by killing Canadian jobs, by reducing Canadian incomes, by collapsing Canadian businesses. He cares about his image and his legacy. He cares about what people think of him and he ties that to inflation and the cost of gas and eggs.

Well fuck that and fuck him. Hit back in ways that cause the most harm to American business for the least harm to Canadian consumers, and let constituencies he’s politically dependent on feel pain from it. Let his pet congressmen and senators hear from constituents who lost their job and no longer have healthcare or prescription coverage for their sick wife or kid. Let them hear from the guy living paycheck to paycheck whose car just broke and now it’s gonna cost him a lot more for replacement parts so he can drive to work and feed his family. Let them hear from people who’be scraped to pay for a house but now the cost for a new build has gone up. Let him hear from assemblers, distillers, and manufacturers who have to cancel shifts or close planes because their export customers are drying up. Some of this he’s going to do to them himself, and some of it we can give a good hard nudge to with proportionate and reasonable trade measures. Show them that it won’t work so that the pressure from within forces a policy change. Remember that we’re less than two years from the midterms.

Yeah, we’ll have to take some of it on the chin. I’d rather our chin be bruised by an economic punch than moistened from Donald Trump’s ball sweat. We make a lot of noise on this website about needing to assert our sovereignty. Well let’s assert our sovereignty. It will hurt, but appeasing him and letting him think he can absorb Canada this way would hurt a lot more.
As I've written, we need calm people calling the shots. Canada's sovereignty isn't in imminent danger - we choose how to respond. The US isn't in imminent danger of becoming some authoritarian playground. People who didn't and don't support Trump don't deserve to be dragged into this, and that's a large number of people even in states whose EC votes went to Trump. Nor does everyone who voted for Trump necessarily support this particular thing right now - it's unavoidably part of the package they voted for because they could only choose between two packages, but that doesn't mean that their support in favour of us on this issue has to be yielded unfought due to ham-fisted emotionally-driven lackwit unimaginative economically ruinous self-destructive responses by people who can't hear Trump talk nonsense about 51st states without their hind brains taking over and who think that a prospective recession on par with recessions we've previously endured is suddenly an existential crisis. I can see our future US licence plate : Canada, the Chicken Little State.

Everyone lining up for "trade war" reminds me of every other stupid foolish imbecilic person who joined in a rush to conflict somewhere, sometime, because their patriotic sensibilities and feelings were hurt, and also the litany of self-serving ridiculous mostly abstract excuses they offered to justify their belligerent rush to seek the worst possible outcomes.
 
if Glenora were distilled on Islay it would be called Scotch, or so I have heard
Wiki's summary of the Scotch Whisky Regulations:

"Scotch whisky" as whisky that:
  • Is produced at a distillery in Scotland from water and malted barley (to which only whole grains of other cereals may be added) all of which have been:
    • Processed at that distillery into a mash
    • Converted at that distillery to a fermentable substrate only by endogenous enzyme systems
    • Fermented at that distillery only by adding yeast
  • Has been distilled at an alcoholic strength by volume of less than 94.8% (190 US proof)
  • Is wholly matured in an excise warehouse in Scotland in oak casks of a capacity not exceeding 700 litres (185 US gal; 154 imp gal) for at least three years
  • Retains the colour, aroma, and taste of the raw materials used in, and the method of, its production and maturation
  • Contains no added substances, other than water and plain (E150A) caramel colouring
  • Has a minimum alcoholic strength by volume of 40% (80 US proof)
 
As I've written, we need calm people calling the shots. Canada's sovereignty isn't in imminent danger - we choose how to respond. The US isn't in imminent danger of becoming some authoritarian playground. People who didn't and don't support Trump don't deserve to be dragged into this, and that's a large number of people even in states whose EC votes went to Trump. Nor does everyone who voted for Trump necessarily support this particular thing right now - it's unavoidably part of the package they voted for because they could only choose between two packages, but that doesn't mean that their support in favour of us on this issue has to be yielded unfought due to ham-fisted emotionally-driven lackwit unimaginative economically ruinous self-destructive responses by people who can't hear Trump talk nonsense about 51st states without their hind brains taking over and who think that a prospective recession on par with recessions we've previously endured is suddenly an existential crisis. I can see our future US licence plate : Canada, the Chicken Little State.

Everyone lining up for "trade war" reminds me of every other stupid foolish imbecilic person who joined in a rush to conflict somewhere, sometime, because their patriotic sensibilities and feelings were hurt, and also the litany of self-serving ridiculous mostly abstract excuses they offered to justify their belligerent rush to seek the worst possible outcomes.
I’m not calling the shots, my opinion and words are forceful but I am very calm. I’m simply not blithely unaware of global context or of history, nor am I in denial about the sort of individual we’re dealing with here and what he will and won’t respond to.

Populations suffer for the actions of their leaders. That’s another recurring theme here. Americans as a whole elected Trump. There is no way to precisely limit repercussions to those who specifically voted for him. Targeting constituencies where he has the most support is the best we can do.

Americans can pressure their government to smarten up. They can do it now, they can do it in the midterms, whatever. They don’t get to be immune from reciprocal economic pressure because of their political leadership’s stupid choices.
 
I have a question
Lots of people saying fuck Trump, let's piss him off with our own tariffs. Ignore his wishes to stop fentanyl and terrorists going south from here. We can afford to live a little tighter and cheaper to make our point.
Really? How about all those people at rock bottom, living in trudeauvilles already? How about those who are just on the edge, giving up meals to buy gas for their 2-3 jobs, do they now move to the trudeauvilles? Those sites are about to suffer a big increase in residents.
It's nice to sit warm and dry in our homes, with our great job or retirement keeping us that way. A huge amount of Canadians don't have these advantages. And here is trudeau changing his emergency funding plan from 'pandemic' to 'tariff war' and is about to throw millions and millions back into the ether, where it will disappear without helping Canadians again. I'll bet we have the same companies and individuals bilking the system again. There was no repercussions for cheating last time, how many millions will go missing again.

Trudeau's plan and implementation will go the same ham fisted, irresponsible, bank breaking way his pandemic action did. All he did was dust the last solution off and change the cover page.

This is not the way out of this. Our freeloader status has been called out and our only response is to stick out our tongue and blow raspberries at America.👅

Trudeau loves this chaos. He's not going to fix it. Him, Carney, et al need this crisis to grow so they can keep scaring Canadians and terrorizing them to stay in line and depend on liberal solutions.

Where is the bipartisan commission? Or are we going to let the liberals drive the train without input from the opposition. Or be content to let them and the orange liberals drive it over a cliff?

Who cares how much hardship we can bring to the Americans? How it will affect them? Worry about Canadians. This is not a war. This is not spiteful. Trump is doing what he thinks best for his country and citizens, even if we think it's personal. It's a negotiation. Trump has thrown his first card, now we need to see how low he will go and to find out where our common ground is so we can grow that.

Trudeau is as useless, in this, as tits on a bull.
 
For those who have lost the plot and are trying to bury this problem in the pages of an economics textbook, here’s Trump’s latest as of this morning:


I will keep saying this: this is not a conventional problem of economics between rational actors. This is a facade sitting in front of the ‘will to power’ psychology of an 1800s style robber baron who unfortunately leads the most powerful country in the world and who would see it as a feather in his cap if he were to succesfully annex us during his time in power.

Are people getting it yet?
They aren’t, they still think this is about the border or some vendetta against Trudeau. It isn’t and they are not getting it.
 
I have a question
Lots of people saying fuck Trump, let's piss him off with our own tariffs. Ignore his wishes to stop fentanyl and terrorists going south from here.
Absolutely nobody here is saying that. Maybe you’re reading that elsewhere but you certainly aren’t on army.ca.

We can afford to live a little tighter and cheaper to make our point.
Really? How about all those people at rock bottom, living in trudeauvilles already? How about those who are just on the edge, giving up meals to buy gas for their 2-3 jobs, do they now move to the trudeauvilles? Those sites are about to suffer a big increase in residents.
It's nice to sit warm and dry in our homes, with our great job or retirement keeping us that way. A huge amount of Canadians don't have these advantages. And here is trudeau changing his emergency funding plan from 'pandemic' to 'tariff war' and is about to throw millions and millions back into the ether, where it will disappear without helping Canadians again. I'll bet we have the same companies and individuals bilking the system again. There was no repercussions for cheating last time, how many millions will go missing again.

Trudeau's plan and implementation will go the same ham fisted, irresponsible, bank breaking way his pandemic action did. All he did was dust the last solution off and change the cover page.

This is not the way out of this. Our freeloader status has been called out and our only response is to stick out our tongue and blow raspberries at America.👅

Trudeau loves this chaos. He's not going to fix it. Him, Carney, et al need this crisis to grow so they can keep scaring Canadians and terrorizing them to stay in line and depend on liberal solutions.

Where is the bipartisan commission? Or are we going to let the liberals drive the train without input from the opposition. Or be content to let them and the orange liberals drive it over a cliff?

I accept that you’re concerned about economic impacts and job losses. You live in a part of Ontario heavily involved in the auto sector, where a whole ton of jobs are about to be lost because of Trump’s tariffs.

Do you place any responsibility for what’s about to happen on Trump for violating the existing trade treaty and imposing 25% tariffs on most of our economic sectors? Or are you giving him a freebie on his tariffs but condemning ours in response?
 
I have a question
Lots of people saying fuck Trump, let's piss him off with our own tariffs. Ignore his wishes to stop fentanyl and terrorists going south from here. We can afford to live a little tighter and cheaper to make our point.
Really? How about all those people at rock bottom, living in trudeauvilles already? How about those who are just on the edge, giving up meals to buy gas for their 2-3 jobs, do they now move to the trudeauvilles? Those sites are about to suffer a big increase in residents.
It's nice to sit warm and dry in our homes, with our great job or retirement keeping us that way. A huge amount of Canadians don't have these advantages. And here is trudeau changing his emergency funding plan from 'pandemic' to 'tariff war' and is about to throw millions and millions back into the ether, where it will disappear without helping Canadians again. I'll bet we have the same companies and individuals bilking the system again. There was no repercussions for cheating last time, how many millions will go missing again.

Trudeau's plan and implementation will go the same ham fisted, irresponsible, bank breaking way his pandemic action did. All he did was dust the last solution off and change the cover page.

This is not the way out of this. Our freeloader status has been called out and our only response is to stick out our tongue and blow raspberries at America.👅

Trudeau loves this chaos. He's not going to fix it. Him, Carney, et al need this crisis to grow so they can keep scaring Canadians and terrorizing them to stay in line and depend on liberal solutions.

Where is the bipartisan commission? Or are we going to let the liberals drive the train without input from the opposition. Or be content to let them and the orange liberals drive it over a cliff?

Who cares how much hardship we can bring to the Americans? How it will affect them? Worry about Canadians. This is not a war. This is not spiteful. Trump is doing what he thinks best for his country and citizens, even if we think it's personal. It's a negotiation. Trump has thrown his first card, now we need to see how low he will go and to find out where our common ground is so we can grow that.

Trudeau is as useless, in this, as tits on a bull.

Except we aren't ignoring the border. The problem is that the fentanyl and immigration issue was a cover so he could by pass congress and using an emergency measure to pursue his economic policy. He has already stated there was nothing we could do to avoid tariffs, Trudeau tried calling him multiple times since Jan 20 and has been scoffed. We need to wake up and realize this was never about the border. This is his idea of America first by making everything non American more expensive. People need to realize it isn't a joke any more about 51st state, or invading Greenland.

We can't hit back without taking some pain our selves but that doesn't mean we don't do it. If we want to go nuclear we can, the US doesn't refine nickel, they send it all to Sudbury to be refined then shipped back, hit that, the vast majority of aluminum America needs comes from Canada, hit that.

Many other areas we can bring America to the table. Already we have over 40 members of congress signing a letter to remove the tariffs on canada.
 
Except we aren't ignoring the border. The problem is that the fentanyl and immigration issue was a cover so he could by pass congress and using an emergency measure to pursue his economic policy. He has already stated there was nothing we could do to avoid tariffs, Trudeau tried calling him multiple times since Jan 20 and has been scoffed. We need to wake up and realize this was never about the border. This is his idea of America first by making everything non American more expensive. People need to realize it isn't a joke any more about 51st state, or invading Greenland.
Yup, all of this. It’s a cover so he can absorb and acquire. He is not a statesman, he’s an acquisitive and exploitative businessman who avoids honouring his own reciprocal obligations. He has to be viewed with cognizance of that.

We can't hit back without taking some pain our selves but that doesn't mean we don't do it. If we want to go nuclear we can, the US doesn't refine nickel, they send it all to Sudbury to be refined then shipped back, hit that, the vast majority of aluminum America needs comes from Canada, hit that.

So some of this is where they already hit themselves. Whether we need to turn it up or not from our end depends on whether we can hit the target dollar value with other goods that have less impact on our own industry. But yes, knowing that building metal refineries is a lengthy process, it should be on the table as an option if in fact they cannot easily substitute.

Many other areas we can bring America to the table. Already we have over 40 members of congress signing a letter to remove the tariffs on canada.

Are any of them Republicans? Politically we need to force a divide within his own party on this, break the consensus.
 
There are certainly some long winded and emotionally charged posts here. Now if only those calling for economic war on the USA had put out as much energy on the CCP issues, corruption inside our country, and assault on western O&G industry.
 
There are certainly some long winded and emotionally charged posts here. Now if only those calling for economic war on the USA had put out as much energy on the CCP issues, corruption inside our country, and assault on western O&G industry.
some long winded Maga before country types trying to rationalize what trump is doing revealing their true colours as well. You’ve already stated your preference to becoming annexed and pro Russia stances. Your concern about China being an issue is about as genuine as your concern for Canada QV.
 
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