North Star
Member
- Reaction score
- 41
- Points
- 330
What is disappointing in the Canadian press is the complete lack of analysis on the "peace" deal itself.
The Sudanese People's Movement/Army and Khartom government may have signed on, but that may actually mean very little. The Justice and Equity Movement (JeM) under the leadership of former a former Sudanese politician who was muscled out by Bashir, has refused to sign. None of their strategic goals have been addressed, and it appears will not be for the foreseeable future. It is therefore within their interest to collapse the deal and recapture international attention. Meanwhile, the level of control Khartom has over the Janjaweed militias hasn't really been assessed. Does Khartom actually have the "will" to "disarm" their former allies? Do the militias themselves feel satisfied with the results of the fighting? Probably not.
So, we have one whole side left out of the deal, and another that can't seem to control it's own proxy forces. Now, throw in to this mix Al-Qaeda and the transnational Fundamentalist-Islamist movement. They are very hostile to the idea to any intervention and have even made declarations stating that should western forces show up in the Sudan, they consider it another "front" against the west. Given suspicions about the Janjaweed's cross membership in Al-Qaeda and the Mujaheedeen (cultivated during OBL's years in the Sudan), is it wise for us to get involved?
The Sudanese People's Movement/Army and Khartom government may have signed on, but that may actually mean very little. The Justice and Equity Movement (JeM) under the leadership of former a former Sudanese politician who was muscled out by Bashir, has refused to sign. None of their strategic goals have been addressed, and it appears will not be for the foreseeable future. It is therefore within their interest to collapse the deal and recapture international attention. Meanwhile, the level of control Khartom has over the Janjaweed militias hasn't really been assessed. Does Khartom actually have the "will" to "disarm" their former allies? Do the militias themselves feel satisfied with the results of the fighting? Probably not.
So, we have one whole side left out of the deal, and another that can't seem to control it's own proxy forces. Now, throw in to this mix Al-Qaeda and the transnational Fundamentalist-Islamist movement. They are very hostile to the idea to any intervention and have even made declarations stating that should western forces show up in the Sudan, they consider it another "front" against the west. Given suspicions about the Janjaweed's cross membership in Al-Qaeda and the Mujaheedeen (cultivated during OBL's years in the Sudan), is it wise for us to get involved?