US Election: 2016

[tomahawk6]

Trump is going to win - BIG.Once you understand that the media is an arm of the democrat party you will take with a grain of salt their polling data and the anti-Trump 24/7 barrage designed to discourage turnout.Of course the dem's run the risk of doing the same to their base.A democrat voter might suppose that they dont need to vote because Hillary has it sown up.

 

[Altair]

Trump is going to win - BIG.Once you understand that the media is an arm of the democrat party you will take with a grain of salt their polling data and the anti-Trump 24/7 barrage designed to discourage turnout.Of course the dem's run the risk of doing the same to their base.A democrat voter might suppose that they dont need to vote because Hillary has it sown up.

Even internal Republican polls are showing big trouble ahead.

 

[mariomike]

Trump is going to win - BIG.

I don't know if you are a betting man, but if you are, get to a bookmaker ASAP! Because you could win - BIG!

Last updated: 7:29PM EDT on Oct 12, 2016
https://electionbettingodds.com/

 

[Lumber]

Trump is going to win - BIG.Once you understand that the media is an arm of the democrat party you will take with a grain of salt their polling data and the anti-Trump 24/7 barrage designed to discourage turnout.Of course the dem's run the risk of doing the same to their base.A democrat voter might suppose that they dont need to vote because Hillary has it sown up.

No. Even if I did believe (which I kind of do, to a degree) that the media is being deliberately and fraudulently deceitful, that would not cause me to take polling data with a grain of salt. Unless you believe in a vast and complicated network of conspiracy, whereby the various polls are "making up" their results at the bequest of the media, then the media can't make up the individual responses to the many, many the polls that show that Trump is loosing this race: http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo

 

[cavalryman]

Make of this what you will

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/white_house_watch_oct13

The full results from Sunday night’s debate are in, and Donald Trump has come from behind to take the lead over Hillary Clinton.

The latest Rasmussen Reports White House Watch national telephone and online survey shows Trump with 43% support among Likely U.S. Voters to Clinton’s 41%. Yesterday, Clinton still held a four-point 43% to 39% lead over Trump, but  that was down from five points on Tuesday and her biggest lead ever of seven points on Monday.

 

[Remius]

Make of this what you will

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/white_house_watch_oct13

Maybe take that particular polling company with a grain of salt.  They are a known conservative leaning polling group with questionable polling tactics. five thirty eight is a much better source.  Or just watch what the peso is doing  [

 

[Lumber]

Make of this what you will

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/white_house_watch_oct13

"After the 2010 midterm elections, Silver [of fivethirtyeight.com] concluded that Rasmussen's polls were the least accurate of the major pollsters in 2010, having an average error of 5.8 points and a pro-Republican bias of 3.9 points according to Silver's model."

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/11/04/rasmussen-polls-were-biased-and-inaccurate-quinnipiac-surveyusa-performed-strongly/?_r=0


That all being said, his polling is certainly more accurate than online polls, and while there may be elements of bias, he's certainly following the scientific polling method, which is why Nate Silver continues to include him in his polling data. He's even spoken favourably about it after certain elections.

Journalist Mickey Kaus said, "If you have a choice between Rasmussen and, say, the prestigious New York Times, go with Rasmussen."

 

[Brad Sallows]

>So I'd go with the one who knows how to do the job they're applying for.

Well, it's a decidedly executive position, so I suppose that means going with the one with a lifetime of executive experience vice staff.

 

[The Bread Guy]

Can't make this s**t up ...

RUS Foreign Minister on the whole "pussy" thing on CNN:

AMANPOUR: Can I just try one last question? One last question. A bit cheeky but I'm going to ask you. Russia had its own Pussy Riot moment. What do you think of Donald Trump’s pussy riot moment?

LAVROV: Well, I don't know what this would… English is not my mother tongue, I don't know if I would sound decent. There are so many pussies around the presidential campaign on both sides that I prefer not to comment on this.

:rofl:

 

[ModlrMike]

Russia for the win!

 

[Jarnhamar]

Hillary says she will obliterate Iran if she's elected president.

https://www.youtube.com/shared?ci=OWBE2dXCT64

Good, ISIL is proving to be too much of a push over.

 

[Fishbone Jones]

More "Voter Fraud is a Myth"

http://clashdaily.com/2016/10/disgusting-watch-two-democratic-hags-stuff-ballot-box-viral-video/

 

[The Bread Guy]

Can't make this s**t up ...

RUS Foreign Minister on the whole "pussy" thing on CNN: :rofl:

And it's not official without a meme ...

 

[Remius]

This isn't a bad breakdown about why Trump may not have the ability to win

http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/14/politics/battleground-map-2016-election-hillary-clinton-donald-trump/index.html

Yes, yes media bias and what not blah blah, th epoint is that the argument being made is fairly solid.  Remember, it isn't the popular vote that will win the election, it's the College Votes.  And he seems to be losing those...

 

[Remius]

And on another note, if anyone is offended by how Donald Trump has portrayed or treated women, one would hope that they would be equally offended by Hillary Clinton's playbook in dealing with her Husband's actions...

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/10/14/emails-reveal-clinton-teams-early-plan-for-handling-bill-sex-scandals.html

 

[Jarnhamar]

Sounds like more and more of Clintons emails are being released. Some pretty good zingers so far. Apparently Saudi Arabia is discreetly funding ISIS, good thing we haven't made any arms deals with SA.

I've read someone plans to release all 33'000 deleted emails too.

 

[muskrat89]

Trump is going to win - BIG.

Ive done pretty well staying away, but I wanted to interject.....

I personally dont think Trump will win, BUT - on 5 or 6 different occasions this week I have talked to people (not close friends or colleagues - had no idea regarding their political leanings) who were absolutely voting for Trump but were not saying anything on Social Media or even in mixed company and family gatherings - for fear of being mocked, called names and shouted down (their words, not mine). I wonder how widespread that phenomenon is....?

I will now return to the shadows leaving you all with more energy to the tit for tat 

 

[cupper]

I personally dont think Trump will win, BUT - on 5 or 6 different occasions this week I have talked to people (not close friends or colleagues - had no idea regarding their political leanings) who were absolutely voting for Trump but were not saying anything on Social Media or even in mixed company and family gatherings - for fear of being mocked, called names and shouted down (their words, not mine). I wonder how widespread that phenomenon is....?

I just listened to a discussion on this very question. The person being interviewed was a pollster who was asked if there really was a so called silent Trump majority that is throwing the polls off, and would show up on November 8th. He explained that there isn't evidence that these types of people are a real thing that will ultimately tip the election in Trump's favour.

His rationale for this is that if there really was a sizable group of silent Trump supporters that were embarrased or not willing to disclose their view, there would be a discrepancy in poll numbers between those that are based on person to person interviews, and the automated phone systems and legitimate online polling systems where there is no interaction beteen the interviewee and another person. And the poll numbers aren't showing a significant difference between the two types of polling methods.

 

[PPCLI Guy]

Hillary says she will obliterate Iran if she's elected president.

https://www.youtube.com/shared?ci=OWBE2dXCT64

Good, ISIL is proving to be too much of a push over.

Right. 

So the context is that this was in response to a question if the US would respond to an Iranian attack against Israel.

She did say that.....in 2008

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-politics-iran-idUSN2224332720080422

 

[The Bread Guy]

Right. 

So the context is that this was in response to a question if the US would respond to an Iranian attack against Israel.

She did say that.....in 2008

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-politics-iran-idUSN2224332720080422

There you go getting all context-y again ...